Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin's July 8 high in the mid-to-upper 90s amid a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with southerly flow adding Gulf moisture that limits daytime heating through increased cloud cover potential and evaporative cooling. The tight spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in guidance on ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower probability for 100-101°F accounts for risks of slightly stronger downslope warming or reduced humidity. Historical July averages near 97°F provide context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns and convective initiation keeps the 45-55% range outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on July 8?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 8?
98-99°F 42%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 jul 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
42%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 42%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 jul 2026
89°F or below
$213 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$225 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$650 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$860 Vol.
9%
96-97°F
$660 Vol.
32%
98-99°F
$2,545 Vol.
42%
100-101°F
$404 Vol.
12%
102-103°F
$406 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$405 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$250 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$412 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin's July 8 high in the mid-to-upper 90s amid a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with southerly flow adding Gulf moisture that limits daytime heating through increased cloud cover potential and evaporative cooling. The tight spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in guidance on ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower probability for 100-101°F accounts for risks of slightly stronger downslope warming or reduced humidity. Historical July averages near 97°F provide context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns and convective initiation keeps the 45-55% range outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volumen
$7,030Fecha de finalización
8 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin's July 8 high in the mid-to-upper 90s amid a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with southerly flow adding Gulf moisture that limits daytime heating through increased cloud cover potential and evaporative cooling. The tight spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in guidance on ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower probability for 100-101°F accounts for risks of slightly stronger downslope warming or reduced humidity. Historical July averages near 97°F provide context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns and convective initiation keeps the 45-55% range outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,030Fecha de finalización
8 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin's July 8 high in the mid-to-upper 90s amid a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with southerly flow adding Gulf moisture that limits daytime heating through increased cloud cover potential and evaporative cooling. The tight spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in guidance on ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower probability for 100-101°F accounts for risks of slightly stronger downslope warming or reduced humidity. Historical July averages near 97°F provide context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns and convective initiation keeps the 45-55% range outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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