Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on July 9?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 9?
33°C 29%
32°C 27%
34°C 21.1%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 jul 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
11%
32°C
27%
33°C
29%
34°C
21%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 29%
32°C 27%
34°C 21.1%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 jul 2026
27°C or below
$383 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$22 Vol.
1%
29°C
$60 Vol.
1%
30°C
$9 Vol.
5%
31°C
$58 Vol.
11%
32°C
$307 Vol.
27%
33°C
$622 Vol.
29%
34°C
$12 Vol.
21%
35°C
$1 Vol.
9%
36°C
$15 Vol.
5%
37°C or higher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,500Fecha de finalización
9 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,500Fecha de finalización
9 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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