Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Chengdu on September 6 likely between 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and possible morning showers that limit afternoon cooling. This supports the market’s tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing modest warming from a lingering warm air mass in the Sichuan basin against variable cloud cover and humidity near 50%. Historical early-September baselines for the area average near 30°C, making current conditions notably elevated. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow will resolve the exact maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 6 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 6 de septiembre?
35°C 32%
34°C 25%
36°C 18%
33°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
25%
35°C
32%
36°C
18%
37°C o más
4%
35°C 32%
34°C 25%
36°C 18%
33°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
27°C o menos
$325 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$269 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$132 Vol.
2%
32°C
$153 Vol.
5%
33°C
$174 Vol.
14%
34°C
$1,022 Vol.
25%
35°C
$1,728 Vol.
32%
36°C
$811 Vol.
18%
37°C o más
$355 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Chengdu on September 6 likely between 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and possible morning showers that limit afternoon cooling. This supports the market’s tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing modest warming from a lingering warm air mass in the Sichuan basin against variable cloud cover and humidity near 50%. Historical early-September baselines for the area average near 30°C, making current conditions notably elevated. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow will resolve the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$5,369Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Chengdu on September 6 likely between 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and possible morning showers that limit afternoon cooling. This supports the market’s tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing modest warming from a lingering warm air mass in the Sichuan basin against variable cloud cover and humidity near 50%. Historical early-September baselines for the area average near 30°C, making current conditions notably elevated. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow will resolve the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,369Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Chengdu on September 6 likely between 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and possible morning showers that limit afternoon cooling. This supports the market’s tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing modest warming from a lingering warm air mass in the Sichuan basin against variable cloud cover and humidity near 50%. Historical early-September baselines for the area average near 30°C, making current conditions notably elevated. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow will resolve the exact maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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