Forecast uncertainty between National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97 °F for Denver’s August 10 high temperature. Recent upper-level ridging and downslope warming along the Front Range have supported above-normal readings, yet a weak approaching trough introduces variability in maximum temperatures depending on cloud cover and wind timing. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 88 °F, making the current outlook a clear departure that traders are pricing through the spread between 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Official verification will rely on the Denver International Airport ASOS station reading, with any late-day convective cooling or delayed mixing potentially shifting the outcome by a degree or two.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 10 de agosto?
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 35%
92-93°F 17%
98-99°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
83°F o menos
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
2%
102°F o más
1%
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 35%
92-93°F 17%
98-99°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
83°F o menos
$167 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$160 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$160 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$112 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$52 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$71 Vol.
17%
94-95°F
$9 Vol.
35%
96-97°F
$34 Vol.
41%
98-99°F
$75 Vol.
6%
100-101°F
$6 Vol.
2%
102°F o más
$194 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty between National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97 °F for Denver’s August 10 high temperature. Recent upper-level ridging and downslope warming along the Front Range have supported above-normal readings, yet a weak approaching trough introduces variability in maximum temperatures depending on cloud cover and wind timing. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 88 °F, making the current outlook a clear departure that traders are pricing through the spread between 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Official verification will rely on the Denver International Airport ASOS station reading, with any late-day convective cooling or delayed mixing potentially shifting the outcome by a degree or two.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$1,041Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty between National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97 °F for Denver’s August 10 high temperature. Recent upper-level ridging and downslope warming along the Front Range have supported above-normal readings, yet a weak approaching trough introduces variability in maximum temperatures depending on cloud cover and wind timing. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 88 °F, making the current outlook a clear departure that traders are pricing through the spread between 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Official verification will rely on the Denver International Airport ASOS station reading, with any late-day convective cooling or delayed mixing potentially shifting the outcome by a degree or two.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,041Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty between National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97 °F for Denver’s August 10 high temperature. Recent upper-level ridging and downslope warming along the Front Range have supported above-normal readings, yet a weak approaching trough introduces variability in maximum temperatures depending on cloud cover and wind timing. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 88 °F, making the current outlook a clear departure that traders are pricing through the spread between 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Official verification will rely on the Denver International Airport ASOS station reading, with any late-day convective cooling or delayed mixing potentially shifting the outcome by a degree or two.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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