National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on July 4 point to a mostly sunny day with a high near 89°F and only a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the historical average high of 88.6°F. This underpins the tight market clustering around 88–91°F, as short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, convective timing, and subtle differences in ridge strength versus any weak shortwave influence. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to insolation and downslope winds, while ENSO-neutral conditions and recent above-normal summer trends provide limited long-term bias. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on July 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 4?
88-89°F 47%
90-91°F 35%
86-87°F 11.5%
84-85°F 1.9%
NUEVO
$27,479 Vol.
NUEVO
$27,479 Vol.
4 jul 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
47%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 47%
90-91°F 35%
86-87°F 11.5%
84-85°F 1.9%
NUEVO
$27,479 Vol.
NUEVO
$27,479 Vol.
4 jul 2026
79°F or below
$163 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,887 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,455 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$1,085 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$3,564 Vol.
12%
88-89°F
$6,598 Vol.
47%
90-91°F
$6,549 Vol.
35%
92-93°F
$1,283 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$1,236 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$1,642 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$2,016 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on July 4 point to a mostly sunny day with a high near 89°F and only a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the historical average high of 88.6°F. This underpins the tight market clustering around 88–91°F, as short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, convective timing, and subtle differences in ridge strength versus any weak shortwave influence. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to insolation and downslope winds, while ENSO-neutral conditions and recent above-normal summer trends provide limited long-term bias. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$27,479Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on July 4 point to a mostly sunny day with a high near 89°F and only a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the historical average high of 88.6°F. This underpins the tight market clustering around 88–91°F, as short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, convective timing, and subtle differences in ridge strength versus any weak shortwave influence. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to insolation and downslope winds, while ENSO-neutral conditions and recent above-normal summer trends provide limited long-term bias. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$27,479Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on July 4 point to a mostly sunny day with a high near 89°F and only a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the historical average high of 88.6°F. This underpins the tight market clustering around 88–91°F, as short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, convective timing, and subtle differences in ridge strength versus any weak shortwave influence. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to insolation and downslope winds, while ENSO-neutral conditions and recent above-normal summer trends provide limited long-term bias. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes