Current ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderate rain and cloud cover on August 14 will likely cap Guangzhou's daily maximum near 31–32°C, driving the market's leading probabilities for those thresholds. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating under persistent subtropical moisture, with historical August climatology (average highs ~32°C) providing a baseline amid ongoing monsoon influences. Key variables include steering flow steering moisture, potential convective timing that could suppress peaks further, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture that supports the observed distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. New 12–48 hour updates from regional models will refine resolution criteria for the official station reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 14 de agosto?
32°C 35%
31°C 23%
33°C 23%
34°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
23%
32°C
35%
33°C
23%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C o superior
<1%
32°C 35%
31°C 23%
33°C 23%
34°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
27°C o menos
$403 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$757 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$760 Vol.
3%
30°C
$658 Vol.
7%
31°C
$421 Vol.
23%
32°C
$524 Vol.
35%
33°C
$1,486 Vol.
23%
34°C
$1,023 Vol.
9%
35°C
$1,472 Vol.
3%
36°C
$463 Vol.
2%
37°C o superior
$741 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderate rain and cloud cover on August 14 will likely cap Guangzhou's daily maximum near 31–32°C, driving the market's leading probabilities for those thresholds. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating under persistent subtropical moisture, with historical August climatology (average highs ~32°C) providing a baseline amid ongoing monsoon influences. Key variables include steering flow steering moisture, potential convective timing that could suppress peaks further, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture that supports the observed distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. New 12–48 hour updates from regional models will refine resolution criteria for the official station reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$8,681Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderate rain and cloud cover on August 14 will likely cap Guangzhou's daily maximum near 31–32°C, driving the market's leading probabilities for those thresholds. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating under persistent subtropical moisture, with historical August climatology (average highs ~32°C) providing a baseline amid ongoing monsoon influences. Key variables include steering flow steering moisture, potential convective timing that could suppress peaks further, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture that supports the observed distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. New 12–48 hour updates from regional models will refine resolution criteria for the official station reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,681Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderate rain and cloud cover on August 14 will likely cap Guangzhou's daily maximum near 31–32°C, driving the market's leading probabilities for those thresholds. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating under persistent subtropical moisture, with historical August climatology (average highs ~32°C) providing a baseline amid ongoing monsoon influences. Key variables include steering flow steering moisture, potential convective timing that could suppress peaks further, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture that supports the observed distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. New 12–48 hour updates from regional models will refine resolution criteria for the official station reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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