Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a high near 34°C under sunny periods within a southwesterly airstream, with isolated showers possible that could moderate afternoon peaks. Recent subsidence associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin sustained extreme heat earlier in the week, elevating baseline temperatures, while seasonal outlooks from the HKO project normal-to-above-normal August conditions amid long-term warming trends. Model consensus on cloud cover, humidity levels near 65-80%, and light winds creates tight differentiation between 33°C and 34°C outcomes, with urban heat island effects in dense areas potentially tipping the daily maximum. Traders monitor updated HKO briefings for any shifts in shower timing or intensification before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 13 de agosto?
34°C 44%
33°C 43%
32°C 13%
35°C 5%
$33,526 Vol.
$33,526 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
13%
33°C
43%
34°C
44%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 44%
33°C 43%
32°C 13%
35°C 5%
$33,526 Vol.
$33,526 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
13%
33°C
43%
34°C
44%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a high near 34°C under sunny periods within a southwesterly airstream, with isolated showers possible that could moderate afternoon peaks. Recent subsidence associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin sustained extreme heat earlier in the week, elevating baseline temperatures, while seasonal outlooks from the HKO project normal-to-above-normal August conditions amid long-term warming trends. Model consensus on cloud cover, humidity levels near 65-80%, and light winds creates tight differentiation between 33°C and 34°C outcomes, with urban heat island effects in dense areas potentially tipping the daily maximum. Traders monitor updated HKO briefings for any shifts in shower timing or intensification before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes