Record-breaking heat across France has propelled summer 2026 toward historic status, with June delivering the nation's hottest month on record and July surpassing all previous monthly averages at 24.9°C. Multiple intense heatwaves, including a severe June episode that shattered daily national highs up to 44.3°C and triggered widespread alerts, have established a dominant lead over the prior benchmark set in 2003. Traders see little room for reversal given sustained warmth and an incoming August heatwave. An unusually cool final stretch could theoretically narrow the margin, but current trajectories make that outcome highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Será el verano de 2026 el verano más caluroso registrado en Francia?
¿Será el verano de 2026 el verano más caluroso registrado en Francia?
Sí
97% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 oct 2026
Sí
97% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 oct 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.Record-breaking heat across France has propelled summer 2026 toward historic status, with June delivering the nation's hottest month on record and July surpassing all previous monthly averages at 24.9°C. Multiple intense heatwaves, including a severe June episode that shattered daily national highs up to 44.3°C and triggered widespread alerts, have established a dominant lead over the prior benchmark set in 2003. Traders see little room for reversal given sustained warmth and an incoming August heatwave. An unusually cool final stretch could theoretically narrow the margin, but current trajectories make that outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Volumen
$647Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiquesResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.Record-breaking heat across France has propelled summer 2026 toward historic status, with June delivering the nation's hottest month on record and July surpassing all previous monthly averages at 24.9°C. Multiple intense heatwaves, including a severe June episode that shattered daily national highs up to 44.3°C and triggered widespread alerts, have established a dominant lead over the prior benchmark set in 2003. Traders see little room for reversal given sustained warmth and an incoming August heatwave. An unusually cool final stretch could theoretically narrow the margin, but current trajectories make that outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
Volumen
$647Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiquesResolver
0x65070BE91...Record-breaking heat across France has propelled summer 2026 toward historic status, with June delivering the nation's hottest month on record and July surpassing all previous monthly averages at 24.9°C. Multiple intense heatwaves, including a severe June episode that shattered daily national highs up to 44.3°C and triggered widespread alerts, have established a dominant lead over the prior benchmark set in 2003. Traders see little room for reversal given sustained warmth and an incoming August heatwave. An unusually cool final stretch could theoretically narrow the margin, but current trajectories make that outcome highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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