Persistent high pressure across Southeast Texas is sustaining typical midsummer conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating afternoon highs near the July climatological average of 94–95°F at Houston’s official sites. High humidity and light steering flow favor isolated afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures, while abundant soil moisture and Saharan dust limit stronger heating. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, keeping 94–95°F the market favorite and 96–97°F a plausible but lower-probability outcome if mixing is stronger than expected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on July 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 4?
94-95°F 54%
96-97°F 36%
92-93°F 5.5%
98-99°F 4.0%
NUEVO
$21,788 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,788 Vol.
4 jul 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
54%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 54%
96-97°F 36%
92-93°F 5.5%
98-99°F 4.0%
NUEVO
$21,788 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,788 Vol.
4 jul 2026
83°F or below
$277 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$898 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$857 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,030 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$2,335 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$7,739 Vol.
54%
96-97°F
$3,333 Vol.
36%
98-99°F
$1,585 Vol.
4%
100-101°F
$1,113 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$1,186 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure across Southeast Texas is sustaining typical midsummer conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating afternoon highs near the July climatological average of 94–95°F at Houston’s official sites. High humidity and light steering flow favor isolated afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures, while abundant soil moisture and Saharan dust limit stronger heating. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, keeping 94–95°F the market favorite and 96–97°F a plausible but lower-probability outcome if mixing is stronger than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$21,788Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure across Southeast Texas is sustaining typical midsummer conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating afternoon highs near the July climatological average of 94–95°F at Houston’s official sites. High humidity and light steering flow favor isolated afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures, while abundant soil moisture and Saharan dust limit stronger heating. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, keeping 94–95°F the market favorite and 96–97°F a plausible but lower-probability outcome if mixing is stronger than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,788Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure across Southeast Texas is sustaining typical midsummer conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating afternoon highs near the July climatological average of 94–95°F at Houston’s official sites. High humidity and light steering flow favor isolated afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures, while abundant soil moisture and Saharan dust limit stronger heating. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, keeping 94–95°F the market favorite and 96–97°F a plausible but lower-probability outcome if mixing is stronger than expected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes