Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C for Istanbul on September 9 under mostly sunny skies with light northeast winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the region, where September highs average near 23–27°C, supported by stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, reinforcing trader consensus around these values as reflected in the dominant market-implied probabilities for 25°C. Updated forecasts later in the day could refine the exact peak if afternoon heating or wind shifts occur.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 9 de septiembre?
25°C 78%
26°C 12%
24°C 7%
23°C <1%
$11,667 Vol.
$11,667 Vol.
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
78%
26°C
12%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
25°C 78%
26°C 12%
24°C 7%
23°C <1%
$11,667 Vol.
$11,667 Vol.
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
78%
26°C
12%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C for Istanbul on September 9 under mostly sunny skies with light northeast winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the region, where September highs average near 23–27°C, supported by stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, reinforcing trader consensus around these values as reflected in the dominant market-implied probabilities for 25°C. Updated forecasts later in the day could refine the exact peak if afternoon heating or wind shifts occur.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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