**Stable high-pressure conditions and model consensus for clear to mostly sunny skies are positioning the 26°C-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader at 73.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and regional Chinese meteorological services converge on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C for Jinan on September 4, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow at 5–13 km/h, low humidity around 30–40%, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with early-September climatology in Shandong, where highs typically reach the upper 20s to low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month. No significant frontal passages or model divergence appear in current runs, reinforcing trader confidence that temperatures will comfortably exceed the 26°C threshold. The lower-probability bins (24°C and below) reflect only residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or minor local variations. With resolution just hours away, the next official China Meteorological Administration update or real-time observations will likely confirm the warm outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 4 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 4 de septiembre?
26°C o más 74%
24°C 10%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
16°C o menos
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
2%
26°C o más
74%
26°C o más 74%
24°C 10%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
16°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C o más
$20 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and model consensus for clear to mostly sunny skies are positioning the 26°C-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader at 73.5% implied probability.**
Multiple forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and regional Chinese meteorological services converge on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C for Jinan on September 4, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow at 5–13 km/h, low humidity around 30–40%, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with early-September climatology in Shandong, where highs typically reach the upper 20s to low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month.
No significant frontal passages or model divergence appear in current runs, reinforcing trader confidence that temperatures will comfortably exceed the 26°C threshold. The lower-probability bins (24°C and below) reflect only residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or minor local variations. With resolution just hours away, the next official China Meteorological Administration update or real-time observations will likely confirm the warm outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and model consensus for clear to mostly sunny skies are positioning the 26°C-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader at 73.5% implied probability.**
Multiple forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and regional Chinese meteorological services converge on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C for Jinan on September 4, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow at 5–13 km/h, low humidity around 30–40%, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with early-September climatology in Shandong, where highs typically reach the upper 20s to low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month.
No significant frontal passages or model divergence appear in current runs, reinforcing trader confidence that temperatures will comfortably exceed the 26°C threshold. The lower-probability bins (24°C and below) reflect only residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or minor local variations. With resolution just hours away, the next official China Meteorological Administration update or real-time observations will likely confirm the warm outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and model consensus for clear to mostly sunny skies are positioning the 26°C-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader at 73.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and regional Chinese meteorological services converge on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C for Jinan on September 4, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow at 5–13 km/h, low humidity around 30–40%, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with early-September climatology in Shandong, where highs typically reach the upper 20s to low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month. No significant frontal passages or model divergence appear in current runs, reinforcing trader confidence that temperatures will comfortably exceed the 26°C threshold. The lower-probability bins (24°C and below) reflect only residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or minor local variations. With resolution just hours away, the next official China Meteorological Administration update or real-time observations will likely confirm the warm outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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