Recent Indian Meteorological Department forecasts and model consensus point to monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow on July 4, positioning 35–37 °C as the most probable range. Early-July climatology shows highs typically falling from June peaks near 37–40 °C once the monsoon advances, with increased humidity and rainfall suppressing peak daytime heating. Current short-range guidance indicates partly cloudy skies and light rain potential, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 36 °C at 36 %. Traders are weighting official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport, where localized convective activity could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 4?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 4?
36°C 36%
35°C 22%
37°C 19%
34°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 jul 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
22%
36°C
36%
37°C
19%
38°C
6%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 36%
35°C 22%
37°C 19%
34°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 jul 2026
32°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$100 Vol.
3%
34°C
$27 Vol.
7%
35°C
$171 Vol.
22%
36°C
$47 Vol.
36%
37°C
$28 Vol.
19%
38°C
$8 Vol.
6%
39°C
$0 Vol.
4%
40°C
$26 Vol.
1%
41°C
$160 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Indian Meteorological Department forecasts and model consensus point to monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow on July 4, positioning 35–37 °C as the most probable range. Early-July climatology shows highs typically falling from June peaks near 37–40 °C once the monsoon advances, with increased humidity and rainfall suppressing peak daytime heating. Current short-range guidance indicates partly cloudy skies and light rain potential, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 36 °C at 36 %. Traders are weighting official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport, where localized convective activity could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$566Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Indian Meteorological Department forecasts and model consensus point to monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow on July 4, positioning 35–37 °C as the most probable range. Early-July climatology shows highs typically falling from June peaks near 37–40 °C once the monsoon advances, with increased humidity and rainfall suppressing peak daytime heating. Current short-range guidance indicates partly cloudy skies and light rain potential, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 36 °C at 36 %. Traders are weighting official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport, where localized convective activity could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$566Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Indian Meteorological Department forecasts and model consensus point to monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow on July 4, positioning 35–37 °C as the most probable range. Early-July climatology shows highs typically falling from June peaks near 37–40 °C once the monsoon advances, with increased humidity and rainfall suppressing peak daytime heating. Current short-range guidance indicates partly cloudy skies and light rain potential, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 36 °C at 36 %. Traders are weighting official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport, where localized convective activity could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes