Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on July 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 4?
25°C 30%
26°C 26%
24°C 19%
27°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 jul 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
19%
25°C
30%
26°C
26%
27°C
11%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 30%
26°C 26%
24°C 19%
27°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 jul 2026
20°C or below
$62 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$15 Vol.
1%
22°C
$83 Vol.
1%
23°C
$78 Vol.
4%
24°C
$55 Vol.
19%
25°C
$245 Vol.
30%
26°C
$40 Vol.
26%
27°C
$48 Vol.
11%
28°C
$23 Vol.
6%
29°C
$117 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$885Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$885Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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