Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 4?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 4?
21°C 40%
22°C 30%
23°C 19%
20°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 jul 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
40%
22°C
30%
23°C
19%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 40%
22°C 30%
23°C 19%
20°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 jul 2026
19°C or below
$62 Vol.
2%
20°C
$96 Vol.
7%
21°C
$4,578 Vol.
40%
22°C
$258 Vol.
30%
23°C
$178 Vol.
19%
24°C
$67 Vol.
5%
25°C
$71 Vol.
1%
26°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$5,536Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,536Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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