Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers indicate a stable anticyclonic regime over northern Italy, with mostly sunny skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation chance driving peak temperatures toward 31–33 °C on July 4. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 32 °C, reflecting typical early-July climatology slightly elevated by recent regional warmth. Minor differences among outcomes stem from uncertainties in exact diurnal timing of maximum heating, urban heat-island amplification within Milan, and small model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range runs and official agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum, directly influencing resolution of the closely matched leading contracts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on July 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 4?
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
33°C 18%
30°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 jul 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
29%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
33°C 18%
30°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 jul 2026
29°C or below
$8 Vol.
2%
30°C
$386 Vol.
10%
31°C
$347 Vol.
29%
32°C
$3,713 Vol.
36%
33°C
$74 Vol.
18%
34°C
$19 Vol.
7%
35°C
$86 Vol.
2%
36°C
$35 Vol.
1%
37°C
$140 Vol.
1%
38°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$240 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers indicate a stable anticyclonic regime over northern Italy, with mostly sunny skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation chance driving peak temperatures toward 31–33 °C on July 4. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 32 °C, reflecting typical early-July climatology slightly elevated by recent regional warmth. Minor differences among outcomes stem from uncertainties in exact diurnal timing of maximum heating, urban heat-island amplification within Milan, and small model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range runs and official agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum, directly influencing resolution of the closely matched leading contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$5,119Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers indicate a stable anticyclonic regime over northern Italy, with mostly sunny skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation chance driving peak temperatures toward 31–33 °C on July 4. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 32 °C, reflecting typical early-July climatology slightly elevated by recent regional warmth. Minor differences among outcomes stem from uncertainties in exact diurnal timing of maximum heating, urban heat-island amplification within Milan, and small model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range runs and official agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum, directly influencing resolution of the closely matched leading contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,119Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers indicate a stable anticyclonic regime over northern Italy, with mostly sunny skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation chance driving peak temperatures toward 31–33 °C on July 4. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 32 °C, reflecting typical early-July climatology slightly elevated by recent regional warmth. Minor differences among outcomes stem from uncertainties in exact diurnal timing of maximum heating, urban heat-island amplification within Milan, and small model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range runs and official agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum, directly influencing resolution of the closely matched leading contracts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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