Forecast consensus from models including the Met Office and AccuWeather positions daily maximum temperatures in Mexico City near 24–26°C on August 12, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (50%) and 26°C (40%). Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters limits extreme heat, while August’s rainy-season pattern—marked by typical afternoon convection and cloud cover—further caps daytime peaks close to the long-term average high of 24°C. Recent model runs show minor spread, with some guidance reaching 26°C under clearer morning conditions, yet no signals of anomalous warmth or cooling. Official observations from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will determine resolution once the calendar day ends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 12 de agosto?
25°C 50%
26°C 35%
24°C 12%
23°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
50%
26°C
35%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C o más
1%
25°C 50%
26°C 35%
24°C 12%
23°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
19°C o menos
$63 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$63 Vol.
1%
21°C
$63 Vol.
1%
22°C
$28 Vol.
2%
23°C
$70 Vol.
9%
24°C
$79 Vol.
12%
25°C
$186 Vol.
50%
26°C
$140 Vol.
35%
27°C
$68 Vol.
4%
28°C
$5 Vol.
5%
29°C o más
$60 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models including the Met Office and AccuWeather positions daily maximum temperatures in Mexico City near 24–26°C on August 12, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (50%) and 26°C (40%). Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters limits extreme heat, while August’s rainy-season pattern—marked by typical afternoon convection and cloud cover—further caps daytime peaks close to the long-term average high of 24°C. Recent model runs show minor spread, with some guidance reaching 26°C under clearer morning conditions, yet no signals of anomalous warmth or cooling. Official observations from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will determine resolution once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$822Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models including the Met Office and AccuWeather positions daily maximum temperatures in Mexico City near 24–26°C on August 12, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (50%) and 26°C (40%). Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters limits extreme heat, while August’s rainy-season pattern—marked by typical afternoon convection and cloud cover—further caps daytime peaks close to the long-term average high of 24°C. Recent model runs show minor spread, with some guidance reaching 26°C under clearer morning conditions, yet no signals of anomalous warmth or cooling. Official observations from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will determine resolution once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$822Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models including the Met Office and AccuWeather positions daily maximum temperatures in Mexico City near 24–26°C on August 12, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (50%) and 26°C (40%). Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters limits extreme heat, while August’s rainy-season pattern—marked by typical afternoon convection and cloud cover—further caps daytime peaks close to the long-term average high of 24°C. Recent model runs show minor spread, with some guidance reaching 26°C under clearer morning conditions, yet no signals of anomalous warmth or cooling. Official observations from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will determine resolution once the calendar day ends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes