Recent model consensus from global and regional numerical weather prediction systems points to a warming trend over eastern Shandong, with southerly flow and reduced marine moderation from the Yellow Sea supporting daytime maxima near or above 31°C for Qingdao on June 13. Ensemble guidance shows limited cloud cover and modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak trough, elevating the potential for peak readings in the low 30s despite typical June coastal averages of 24–27°C. Recent runs have trended slightly warmer than climatology, consistent with broader northern China warmth patterns and helping drive the 76.5% market-implied odds for 31°C or higher. Key uncertainty remains in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze effects, with final resolution depending on official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 13?
31°C or higher 76%
30°C 16%
29°C 4.0%
28°C 3.0%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
76%
31°C or higher 76%
30°C 16%
29°C 4.0%
28°C 3.0%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from global and regional numerical weather prediction systems points to a warming trend over eastern Shandong, with southerly flow and reduced marine moderation from the Yellow Sea supporting daytime maxima near or above 31°C for Qingdao on June 13. Ensemble guidance shows limited cloud cover and modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak trough, elevating the potential for peak readings in the low 30s despite typical June coastal averages of 24–27°C. Recent runs have trended slightly warmer than climatology, consistent with broader northern China warmth patterns and helping drive the 76.5% market-implied odds for 31°C or higher. Key uncertainty remains in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze effects, with final resolution depending on official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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