Recent short-range model guidance from sources like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a moderate westerly flow across the North Sea, with partial cloud cover and a fresh breeze limiting peak insolation and producing maximum temperatures clustered around 17–19°C on June 13 in Amsterdam. This narrow spread explains the tight market clustering at those levels, as small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or sea-breeze onset can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical June climatology for the city centers near 18–19°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest 48-hour forecast updates. Resolution hinges on the official KNMI observation at the main station, with any late-day clearing or stronger advection able to push readings toward the 19–20°C tail.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 13?
18°C 39%
17°C 32%
19°C 14%
16°C 11%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
32%
18°C
39%
19°C
14%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 39%
17°C 32%
19°C 14%
16°C 11%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
32%
18°C
39%
19°C
14%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from sources like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a moderate westerly flow across the North Sea, with partial cloud cover and a fresh breeze limiting peak insolation and producing maximum temperatures clustered around 17–19°C on June 13 in Amsterdam. This narrow spread explains the tight market clustering at those levels, as small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or sea-breeze onset can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical June climatology for the city centers near 18–19°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest 48-hour forecast updates. Resolution hinges on the official KNMI observation at the main station, with any late-day clearing or stronger advection able to push readings toward the 19–20°C tail.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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