The near-certain 100% market-implied probability on 78–79°F reflects the official high of 79°F recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on June 10, 2026, per National Weather Service observations. Clear skies and a dry, warming air mass suppressed the typical June marine layer and coastal fog, allowing daytime temperatures to exceed the 67–70°F seasonal average under light westerly flow. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days projecting a high near 75–77°F that verified slightly warmer amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on the finalized Climatological Report (Daily) from the primary recording station; minor adjustments in post-processing or use of an alternate site remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 10?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$84,970 Vol.
$84,970 Vol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$84,970 Vol.
$84,970 Vol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The near-certain 100% market-implied probability on 78–79°F reflects the official high of 79°F recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on June 10, 2026, per National Weather Service observations. Clear skies and a dry, warming air mass suppressed the typical June marine layer and coastal fog, allowing daytime temperatures to exceed the 67–70°F seasonal average under light westerly flow. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days projecting a high near 75–77°F that verified slightly warmer amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on the finalized Climatological Report (Daily) from the primary recording station; minor adjustments in post-processing or use of an alternate site remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes