Trader consensus for San Francisco’s June 14 high centers on 70–73°F because National Weather Service and model guidance project a moderate onshore flow and persistent marine layer that typically caps coastal maxima near seasonal normals of 68–72°F at KSFO. Recent model runs show limited warming potential from weak high pressure, with afternoon temperatures hinging on the timing of any clearing and wind strength; stronger westerlies or deeper stratus would favor the 70–71°F bin, while brief thinning could push readings into the low 70s. Historical June patterns and current sea-surface temperatures reinforce this narrow range, leaving only modest implied probability for outliers above 74°F absent an unexpected offshore shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
72-73°F 39%
70-71°F 30%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 5.2%
$14,617 Vol.
$14,617 Vol.
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 39%
70-71°F 30%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 5.2%
$14,617 Vol.
$14,617 Vol.
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for San Francisco’s June 14 high centers on 70–73°F because National Weather Service and model guidance project a moderate onshore flow and persistent marine layer that typically caps coastal maxima near seasonal normals of 68–72°F at KSFO. Recent model runs show limited warming potential from weak high pressure, with afternoon temperatures hinging on the timing of any clearing and wind strength; stronger westerlies or deeper stratus would favor the 70–71°F bin, while brief thinning could push readings into the low 70s. Historical June patterns and current sea-surface temperatures reinforce this narrow range, leaving only modest implied probability for outliers above 74°F absent an unexpected offshore shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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