Current MetService and supporting model consensus project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11 under stable northerly flow, aligning with the market’s near-certain 14°C outcome. This reflects winter climatology where average June highs range 13–14°C, with recent NIWA guidance indicating near-average temperatures and no significant warm advection or frontal systems expected to elevate readings. Official resolution depends on MetService station observations, which have shown tight agreement across updated runs. Minor upside risk to 15°C exists if boundary-layer mixing strengthens beyond current guidance, while colder outcomes remain improbable absent rapid southerly shifts not indicated in ensemble forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 99.9%
15°C <1%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
$61,407 Vol.
$61,407 Vol.
11 jun 2026
8°C o menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o más
<1%
14°C 99.9%
15°C <1%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
$61,407 Vol.
$61,407 Vol.
11 jun 2026
8°C o menos
$317 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,743 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,590 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$6,243 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$16,123 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$11,857 Vol.
100%
15°C
$8,171 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$9,389 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,048 Vol.
<1%
18°C o más
$615 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService and supporting model consensus project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11 under stable northerly flow, aligning with the market’s near-certain 14°C outcome. This reflects winter climatology where average June highs range 13–14°C, with recent NIWA guidance indicating near-average temperatures and no significant warm advection or frontal systems expected to elevate readings. Official resolution depends on MetService station observations, which have shown tight agreement across updated runs. Minor upside risk to 15°C exists if boundary-layer mixing strengthens beyond current guidance, while colder outcomes remain improbable absent rapid southerly shifts not indicated in ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$61,407Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService and supporting model consensus project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11 under stable northerly flow, aligning with the market’s near-certain 14°C outcome. This reflects winter climatology where average June highs range 13–14°C, with recent NIWA guidance indicating near-average temperatures and no significant warm advection or frontal systems expected to elevate readings. Official resolution depends on MetService station observations, which have shown tight agreement across updated runs. Minor upside risk to 15°C exists if boundary-layer mixing strengthens beyond current guidance, while colder outcomes remain improbable absent rapid southerly shifts not indicated in ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$61,407Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current MetService and supporting model consensus project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11 under stable northerly flow, aligning with the market’s near-certain 14°C outcome. This reflects winter climatology where average June highs range 13–14°C, with recent NIWA guidance indicating near-average temperatures and no significant warm advection or frontal systems expected to elevate readings. Official resolution depends on MetService station observations, which have shown tight agreement across updated runs. Minor upside risk to 15°C exists if boundary-layer mixing strengthens beyond current guidance, while colder outcomes remain improbable absent rapid southerly shifts not indicated in ensemble forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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