Traders are closely split between 68-71°F for San Francisco’s July 3 high because NOAA and National Weather Service short-range models show a persistent marine layer with moderate onshore flow keeping coastal readings near seasonal normals. Subtle differences in the strength of the Pacific high and the depth of the cool air mass will determine whether daytime warming reaches the low 70s or stalls in the upper 60s; stronger westerly winds and earlier fog clearance favor the higher bin, while a deeper stratus deck favors the lower. Historical July maxima average 68-72°F at downtown stations, and current ensemble guidance shows low spread around that range with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s 00Z model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 3?
68-69°F 99.9%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$55,205 Vol.
$55,205 Vol.
3 jul 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 99.9%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$55,205 Vol.
$55,205 Vol.
3 jul 2026
59°F or below
$1,912 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$4,478 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,318 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,880 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$5,205 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$11,784 Vol.
100%
70-71°F
$4,263 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,121 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,900 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$6,533 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$6,812 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are closely split between 68-71°F for San Francisco’s July 3 high because NOAA and National Weather Service short-range models show a persistent marine layer with moderate onshore flow keeping coastal readings near seasonal normals. Subtle differences in the strength of the Pacific high and the depth of the cool air mass will determine whether daytime warming reaches the low 70s or stalls in the upper 60s; stronger westerly winds and earlier fog clearance favor the higher bin, while a deeper stratus deck favors the lower. Historical July maxima average 68-72°F at downtown stations, and current ensemble guidance shows low spread around that range with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s 00Z model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volumen
$55,205Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are closely split between 68-71°F for San Francisco’s July 3 high because NOAA and National Weather Service short-range models show a persistent marine layer with moderate onshore flow keeping coastal readings near seasonal normals. Subtle differences in the strength of the Pacific high and the depth of the cool air mass will determine whether daytime warming reaches the low 70s or stalls in the upper 60s; stronger westerly winds and earlier fog clearance favor the higher bin, while a deeper stratus deck favors the lower. Historical July maxima average 68-72°F at downtown stations, and current ensemble guidance shows low spread around that range with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s 00Z model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$55,205Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are closely split between 68-71°F for San Francisco’s July 3 high because NOAA and National Weather Service short-range models show a persistent marine layer with moderate onshore flow keeping coastal readings near seasonal normals. Subtle differences in the strength of the Pacific high and the depth of the cool air mass will determine whether daytime warming reaches the low 70s or stalls in the upper 60s; stronger westerly winds and earlier fog clearance favor the higher bin, while a deeper stratus deck favors the lower. Historical July maxima average 68-72°F at downtown stations, and current ensemble guidance shows low spread around that range with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s 00Z model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes