Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather cluster around a daytime maximum of 28–31°C (82–88°F) for São Paulo on August 13 under broken to scattered clouds with limited rain, positioning 30°C as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. This exceeds typical August climatology of 23–25°C, driven by regional warmer-than-average winter conditions and atmospheric patterns favoring warmer air advection. Traders assign the next-highest weight (30%) to 29°C given ensemble spread and potential moderating effects from official measurement stations versus urban heat influences, while lower odds for 31°C or above reflect model uncertainty and the narrow window for further intensification. Recent observational data showing prior August highs near 28°C reinforce the tight 29–30°C range as the dominant outcome ahead of final daily readings from Brazilian meteorological agencies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 13 de agosto?
30°C 55%
29°C 31%
31°C 12%
32°C 2%
NUEVO
$10,904 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,904 Vol.
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
31%
30°C
55%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 55%
29°C 31%
31°C 12%
32°C 2%
NUEVO
$10,904 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,904 Vol.
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
$201 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$585 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3,303 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,750 Vol.
31%
30°C
$1,041 Vol.
55%
31°C
$1,374 Vol.
12%
32°C
$320 Vol.
2%
33°C
$329 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$1,235 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather cluster around a daytime maximum of 28–31°C (82–88°F) for São Paulo on August 13 under broken to scattered clouds with limited rain, positioning 30°C as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. This exceeds typical August climatology of 23–25°C, driven by regional warmer-than-average winter conditions and atmospheric patterns favoring warmer air advection. Traders assign the next-highest weight (30%) to 29°C given ensemble spread and potential moderating effects from official measurement stations versus urban heat influences, while lower odds for 31°C or above reflect model uncertainty and the narrow window for further intensification. Recent observational data showing prior August highs near 28°C reinforce the tight 29–30°C range as the dominant outcome ahead of final daily readings from Brazilian meteorological agencies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volumen
$10,904Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather cluster around a daytime maximum of 28–31°C (82–88°F) for São Paulo on August 13 under broken to scattered clouds with limited rain, positioning 30°C as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. This exceeds typical August climatology of 23–25°C, driven by regional warmer-than-average winter conditions and atmospheric patterns favoring warmer air advection. Traders assign the next-highest weight (30%) to 29°C given ensemble spread and potential moderating effects from official measurement stations versus urban heat influences, while lower odds for 31°C or above reflect model uncertainty and the narrow window for further intensification. Recent observational data showing prior August highs near 28°C reinforce the tight 29–30°C range as the dominant outcome ahead of final daily readings from Brazilian meteorological agencies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,904Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather cluster around a daytime maximum of 28–31°C (82–88°F) for São Paulo on August 13 under broken to scattered clouds with limited rain, positioning 30°C as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. This exceeds typical August climatology of 23–25°C, driven by regional warmer-than-average winter conditions and atmospheric patterns favoring warmer air advection. Traders assign the next-highest weight (30%) to 29°C given ensemble spread and potential moderating effects from official measurement stations versus urban heat influences, while lower odds for 31°C or above reflect model uncertainty and the narrow window for further intensification. Recent observational data showing prior August highs near 28°C reinforce the tight 29–30°C range as the dominant outcome ahead of final daily readings from Brazilian meteorological agencies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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