Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Seattle on July 3 centered in the low-to-mid 70s, with the closely bunched market odds (72–73 °F at 22 %, 74–75 °F at 19 %, 70–71 °F at 17.5 %) reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and marine-layer strength. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer typical of early July are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping highs near the seasonal average of 74–76 °F while suppressing the stronger warming seen earlier in the summer. Ensemble spreads remain modest because steering patterns are stable, but small differences in timing of any onshore push or breaks in stratus could shift the peak by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS Seattle area forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of the daily high observation at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on July 3?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 3?
72-73°F 99.8%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
63°F or below <1%
$51,597 Vol.
$51,597 Vol.
3 jul 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 99.8%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
63°F or below <1%
$51,597 Vol.
$51,597 Vol.
3 jul 2026
63°F or below
$8,477 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,758 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$4,730 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5,372 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$6,602 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$8,036 Vol.
100%
74-75°F
$4,709 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,095 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,756 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$5,219 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$843 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Seattle on July 3 centered in the low-to-mid 70s, with the closely bunched market odds (72–73 °F at 22 %, 74–75 °F at 19 %, 70–71 °F at 17.5 %) reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and marine-layer strength. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer typical of early July are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping highs near the seasonal average of 74–76 °F while suppressing the stronger warming seen earlier in the summer. Ensemble spreads remain modest because steering patterns are stable, but small differences in timing of any onshore push or breaks in stratus could shift the peak by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS Seattle area forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of the daily high observation at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volumen
$51,597Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Seattle on July 3 centered in the low-to-mid 70s, with the closely bunched market odds (72–73 °F at 22 %, 74–75 °F at 19 %, 70–71 °F at 17.5 %) reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and marine-layer strength. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer typical of early July are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping highs near the seasonal average of 74–76 °F while suppressing the stronger warming seen earlier in the summer. Ensemble spreads remain modest because steering patterns are stable, but small differences in timing of any onshore push or breaks in stratus could shift the peak by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS Seattle area forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of the daily high observation at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$51,597Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Seattle on July 3 centered in the low-to-mid 70s, with the closely bunched market odds (72–73 °F at 22 %, 74–75 °F at 19 %, 70–71 °F at 17.5 %) reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and marine-layer strength. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer typical of early July are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping highs near the seasonal average of 74–76 °F while suppressing the stronger warming seen earlier in the summer. Ensemble spreads remain modest because steering patterns are stable, but small differences in timing of any onshore push or breaks in stratus could shift the peak by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS Seattle area forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of the daily high observation at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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