Cloudy conditions forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency for August 3 are moderating peak heating in Tokyo, positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 38% implied probability. Historical early-August highs average near 32°C under clearer skies, but scattered cloud cover and elevated humidity typically cap daytime maxima 3–5°C lower by limiting solar insolation. Recent model consensus shows limited intensification potential ahead of the date, with traders favoring the 26–28°C cluster as resolution thresholds align with observed patterns rather than seasonal extremes. New forecast updates from JMA and ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied odds as the window narrows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 3 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 3 de agosto?
27°C 38%
28°C 25%
26°C 24%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
24%
27°C
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
10%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 25%
26°C 24%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
22°C or below
$356 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$774 Vol.
1%
25°C
$111 Vol.
5%
26°C
$405 Vol.
24%
27°C
$733 Vol.
38%
28°C
$128 Vol.
25%
29°C
$78 Vol.
10%
30°C
$140 Vol.
4%
31°C
$291 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$251 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloudy conditions forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency for August 3 are moderating peak heating in Tokyo, positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 38% implied probability. Historical early-August highs average near 32°C under clearer skies, but scattered cloud cover and elevated humidity typically cap daytime maxima 3–5°C lower by limiting solar insolation. Recent model consensus shows limited intensification potential ahead of the date, with traders favoring the 26–28°C cluster as resolution thresholds align with observed patterns rather than seasonal extremes. New forecast updates from JMA and ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied odds as the window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$3,623Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloudy conditions forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency for August 3 are moderating peak heating in Tokyo, positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 38% implied probability. Historical early-August highs average near 32°C under clearer skies, but scattered cloud cover and elevated humidity typically cap daytime maxima 3–5°C lower by limiting solar insolation. Recent model consensus shows limited intensification potential ahead of the date, with traders favoring the 26–28°C cluster as resolution thresholds align with observed patterns rather than seasonal extremes. New forecast updates from JMA and ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied odds as the window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,623Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cloudy conditions forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency for August 3 are moderating peak heating in Tokyo, positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 38% implied probability. Historical early-August highs average near 32°C under clearer skies, but scattered cloud cover and elevated humidity typically cap daytime maxima 3–5°C lower by limiting solar insolation. Recent model consensus shows limited intensification potential ahead of the date, with traders favoring the 26–28°C cluster as resolution thresholds align with observed patterns rather than seasonal extremes. New forecast updates from JMA and ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied odds as the window narrows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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