Current forecasts from meteorological sources position a daily high near 24°C as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on August 13, aligning with the market's leading implied probability. Models indicate stable late-summer conditions under high pressure, with light northeasterly winds, sunny intervals, and minimal cloud cover limiting convective cooling or heating. This consensus draws from recent runs showing highs of 23–25°C across consecutive days, consistent with August climatology where Warsaw averages peak around 23–25°C without strong heatwave or frontal influences. Updated model outputs over the past 48 hours have tightened the range, supporting trader focus on the 23–25°C band ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 13 de agosto?
24°C 50%
23°C 25%
25°C 21%
22°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
25%
24°C
50%
25°C
21%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 25%
25°C 21%
22°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$108 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$482 Vol.
1%
22°C
$393 Vol.
5%
23°C
$697 Vol.
25%
24°C
$845 Vol.
50%
25°C
$396 Vol.
21%
26°C
$109 Vol.
3%
27°C
$38 Vol.
2%
28°C
$165 Vol.
1%
29°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$210 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological sources position a daily high near 24°C as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on August 13, aligning with the market's leading implied probability. Models indicate stable late-summer conditions under high pressure, with light northeasterly winds, sunny intervals, and minimal cloud cover limiting convective cooling or heating. This consensus draws from recent runs showing highs of 23–25°C across consecutive days, consistent with August climatology where Warsaw averages peak around 23–25°C without strong heatwave or frontal influences. Updated model outputs over the past 48 hours have tightened the range, supporting trader focus on the 23–25°C band ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$3,639Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological sources position a daily high near 24°C as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on August 13, aligning with the market's leading implied probability. Models indicate stable late-summer conditions under high pressure, with light northeasterly winds, sunny intervals, and minimal cloud cover limiting convective cooling or heating. This consensus draws from recent runs showing highs of 23–25°C across consecutive days, consistent with August climatology where Warsaw averages peak around 23–25°C without strong heatwave or frontal influences. Updated model outputs over the past 48 hours have tightened the range, supporting trader focus on the 23–25°C band ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,639Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological sources position a daily high near 24°C as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on August 13, aligning with the market's leading implied probability. Models indicate stable late-summer conditions under high pressure, with light northeasterly winds, sunny intervals, and minimal cloud cover limiting convective cooling or heating. This consensus draws from recent runs showing highs of 23–25°C across consecutive days, consistent with August climatology where Warsaw averages peak around 23–25°C without strong heatwave or frontal influences. Updated model outputs over the past 48 hours have tightened the range, supporting trader focus on the 23–25°C band ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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