Traders see near-even odds for a 36°C or 37°C peak in Wuhan on August 3 because official forecasts and ensemble models cluster tightly around 34–37°C amid lingering subtropical high pressure. Recent model runs show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with afternoon thundershowers possible that could limit extreme maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Differentiating factors include small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and the timing of any convective cells, which historical August climatology shows can shift observed highs by 1–2°C on any given day. With resolution just 48 hours away, the tight distribution reflects ongoing uncertainty in short-range guidance rather than a broad heatwave signal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 3 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 3 de agosto?
36°C 33%
37°C 31%
38°C 21%
35°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
31°C o menos
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
13%
36°C
33%
37°C
31%
38°C
21%
39°C
3%
40°C
2%
41°C o más
2%
36°C 33%
37°C 31%
38°C 21%
35°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
31°C o menos
$66 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$65 Vol.
2%
33°C
$92 Vol.
2%
34°C
$41 Vol.
5%
35°C
$26 Vol.
13%
36°C
$61 Vol.
33%
37°C
$298 Vol.
31%
38°C
$206 Vol.
21%
39°C
$40 Vol.
3%
40°C
$132 Vol.
2%
41°C o más
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds for a 36°C or 37°C peak in Wuhan on August 3 because official forecasts and ensemble models cluster tightly around 34–37°C amid lingering subtropical high pressure. Recent model runs show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with afternoon thundershowers possible that could limit extreme maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Differentiating factors include small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and the timing of any convective cells, which historical August climatology shows can shift observed highs by 1–2°C on any given day. With resolution just 48 hours away, the tight distribution reflects ongoing uncertainty in short-range guidance rather than a broad heatwave signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,035Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds for a 36°C or 37°C peak in Wuhan on August 3 because official forecasts and ensemble models cluster tightly around 34–37°C amid lingering subtropical high pressure. Recent model runs show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with afternoon thundershowers possible that could limit extreme maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Differentiating factors include small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and the timing of any convective cells, which historical August climatology shows can shift observed highs by 1–2°C on any given day. With resolution just 48 hours away, the tight distribution reflects ongoing uncertainty in short-range guidance rather than a broad heatwave signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,035Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds for a 36°C or 37°C peak in Wuhan on August 3 because official forecasts and ensemble models cluster tightly around 34–37°C amid lingering subtropical high pressure. Recent model runs show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with afternoon thundershowers possible that could limit extreme maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Differentiating factors include small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and the timing of any convective cells, which historical August climatology shows can shift observed highs by 1–2°C on any given day. With resolution just 48 hours away, the tight distribution reflects ongoing uncertainty in short-range guidance rather than a broad heatwave signal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes