President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping has solidified trader consensus on a prolonged handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 55.5%, mirroring their historical precedents such as the nearly 27-second grip during past bilateral meetings that symbolized rapport amid trade and diplomatic negotiations. Secondary outcomes like 10-15 seconds and 6-10 seconds at 20.5% and 17% reflect expectations of formal state visit protocol, while no handshake remains unlikely at 4% absent any recent escalations or boycotts, despite earlier trip delays tied to Iran tensions. Smooth preparations and the high-stakes agenda on US-China relations position lengthy greetings as the baseline for this closely watched diplomatic encounter.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado15s+ 56%
10–15s 21%
6–10 s 16%
2–6s 7.1%
$271,785 Vol.
$271,785 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sin apretón de manos
3%
<2s
1%
2–6s
7%
6–10 s
16%
10–15s
21%
15s+
56%
Solo fotografiados
2%
15s+ 56%
10–15s 21%
6–10 s 16%
2–6s 7.1%
$271,785 Vol.
$271,785 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sin apretón de manos
$54,823 Vol.
3%
<2s
$41,728 Vol.
1%
2–6s
$42,542 Vol.
7%
6–10 s
$20,644 Vol.
16%
10–15s
$20,795 Vol.
21%
15s+
$49,888 Vol.
56%
Solo fotografiados
$42,092 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping has solidified trader consensus on a prolonged handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 55.5%, mirroring their historical precedents such as the nearly 27-second grip during past bilateral meetings that symbolized rapport amid trade and diplomatic negotiations. Secondary outcomes like 10-15 seconds and 6-10 seconds at 20.5% and 17% reflect expectations of formal state visit protocol, while no handshake remains unlikely at 4% absent any recent escalations or boycotts, despite earlier trip delays tied to Iran tensions. Smooth preparations and the high-stakes agenda on US-China relations position lengthy greetings as the baseline for this closely watched diplomatic encounter.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Mercado abierto: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volumen
$271,785Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping has solidified trader consensus on a prolonged handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 55.5%, mirroring their historical precedents such as the nearly 27-second grip during past bilateral meetings that symbolized rapport amid trade and diplomatic negotiations. Secondary outcomes like 10-15 seconds and 6-10 seconds at 20.5% and 17% reflect expectations of formal state visit protocol, while no handshake remains unlikely at 4% absent any recent escalations or boycotts, despite earlier trip delays tied to Iran tensions. Smooth preparations and the high-stakes agenda on US-China relations position lengthy greetings as the baseline for this closely watched diplomatic encounter.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Volumen
$271,785Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping has solidified trader consensus on a prolonged handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 55.5%, mirroring their historical precedents such as the nearly 27-second grip during past bilateral meetings that symbolized rapport amid trade and diplomatic negotiations. Secondary outcomes like 10-15 seconds and 6-10 seconds at 20.5% and 17% reflect expectations of formal state visit protocol, while no handshake remains unlikely at 4% absent any recent escalations or boycotts, despite earlier trip delays tied to Iran tensions. Smooth preparations and the high-stakes agenda on US-China relations position lengthy greetings as the baseline for this closely watched diplomatic encounter.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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