President Trump's confirmed departure from Beijing aboard Air Force One on May 15 caps his three-day state visit to China, originally scheduled from May 13-15 following a delay due to the Iran conflict, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% for this date. Official itineraries and live reports detail a farewell ceremony at Beijing Capital International Airport after bilateral meetings and a working lunch with Xi Jinping, focused on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and technology. This aligns with pre-announced timelines from both U.S. and Chinese sources, reflecting diplomatic coordination. Scenarios challenging this—such as unforeseen flight delays, health issues, or extended talks—remain highly improbable given verified takeoff confirmations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhen will Trump leave China?
When will Trump leave China?
May 15 100.0%
May 16 <1%
May 17 <1%
May 18 <1%
$1,516,333 Vol.
$1,516,333 Vol.
20 may 2026
May 15
100%
May 16
<1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
<1%
Después del 18 de mayo
<1%
May 15 100.0%
May 16 <1%
May 17 <1%
May 18 <1%
$1,516,333 Vol.
$1,516,333 Vol.
20 may 2026
May 15
$110,236 Vol.
100%
May 16
$51,534 Vol.
<1%
May 17
$12,104 Vol.
<1%
May 18
$3,024 Vol.
<1%
Después del 18 de mayo
$1,270,437 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's confirmed departure from Beijing aboard Air Force One on May 15 caps his three-day state visit to China, originally scheduled from May 13-15 following a delay due to the Iran conflict, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% for this date. Official itineraries and live reports detail a farewell ceremony at Beijing Capital International Airport after bilateral meetings and a working lunch with Xi Jinping, focused on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and technology. This aligns with pre-announced timelines from both U.S. and Chinese sources, reflecting diplomatic coordination. Scenarios challenging this—such as unforeseen flight delays, health issues, or extended talks—remain highly improbable given verified takeoff confirmations.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volumen
$1,516,333Fecha de finalización
20 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's confirmed departure from Beijing aboard Air Force One on May 15 caps his three-day state visit to China, originally scheduled from May 13-15 following a delay due to the Iran conflict, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% for this date. Official itineraries and live reports detail a farewell ceremony at Beijing Capital International Airport after bilateral meetings and a working lunch with Xi Jinping, focused on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and technology. This aligns with pre-announced timelines from both U.S. and Chinese sources, reflecting diplomatic coordination. Scenarios challenging this—such as unforeseen flight delays, health issues, or extended talks—remain highly improbable given verified takeoff confirmations.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,516,333Fecha de finalización
20 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's confirmed departure from Beijing aboard Air Force One on May 15 caps his three-day state visit to China, originally scheduled from May 13-15 following a delay due to the Iran conflict, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% for this date. Official itineraries and live reports detail a farewell ceremony at Beijing Capital International Airport after bilateral meetings and a working lunch with Xi Jinping, focused on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and technology. This aligns with pre-announced timelines from both U.S. and Chinese sources, reflecting diplomatic coordination. Scenarios challenging this—such as unforeseen flight delays, health issues, or extended talks—remain highly improbable given verified takeoff confirmations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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