President Donald Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, for his state visit with President Xi Jinping—met not by Xi personally but by a lower-ranking official—highlights the formal diplomatic protocol shaping trader consensus at 89.5% against a hug during their bilateral summit talks scheduled later that evening. Trump's mid-April Truth Social prediction of a "big fat hug" from Xi fueled market interest, but longstanding U.S.-China tensions over trade tariffs, rare earth minerals, AI competition, and the Iran conflict have fostered a businesslike atmosphere, with Xi's reserved style favoring handshakes over embraces. No recent gestures suggest deviation from norms, though an unexpected warm interaction could shift odds before the May 15 conclusion.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$69,627 Vol.
$69,627 Vol.
15 may 2026
$69,627 Vol.
$69,627 Vol.
15 may 2026
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.President Donald Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, for his state visit with President Xi Jinping—met not by Xi personally but by a lower-ranking official—highlights the formal diplomatic protocol shaping trader consensus at 89.5% against a hug during their bilateral summit talks scheduled later that evening. Trump's mid-April Truth Social prediction of a "big fat hug" from Xi fueled market interest, but longstanding U.S.-China tensions over trade tariffs, rare earth minerals, AI competition, and the Iran conflict have fostered a businesslike atmosphere, with Xi's reserved style favoring handshakes over embraces. No recent gestures suggest deviation from norms, though an unexpected warm interaction could shift odds before the May 15 conclusion.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volumen
$69,627Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.President Donald Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, for his state visit with President Xi Jinping—met not by Xi personally but by a lower-ranking official—highlights the formal diplomatic protocol shaping trader consensus at 89.5% against a hug during their bilateral summit talks scheduled later that evening. Trump's mid-April Truth Social prediction of a "big fat hug" from Xi fueled market interest, but longstanding U.S.-China tensions over trade tariffs, rare earth minerals, AI competition, and the Iran conflict have fostered a businesslike atmosphere, with Xi's reserved style favoring handshakes over embraces. No recent gestures suggest deviation from norms, though an unexpected warm interaction could shift odds before the May 15 conclusion.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volumen
$69,636Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, for his state visit with President Xi Jinping—met not by Xi personally but by a lower-ranking official—highlights the formal diplomatic protocol shaping trader consensus at 89.5% against a hug during their bilateral summit talks scheduled later that evening. Trump's mid-April Truth Social prediction of a "big fat hug" from Xi fueled market interest, but longstanding U.S.-China tensions over trade tariffs, rare earth minerals, AI competition, and the Iran conflict have fostered a businesslike atmosphere, with Xi's reserved style favoring handshakes over embraces. No recent gestures suggest deviation from norms, though an unexpected warm interaction could shift odds before the May 15 conclusion.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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