President Trump's state visit to Beijing, arriving May 13 for meetings with Xi Jinping amid U.S.-Iran tensions, dominates recent Truth Social activity as the primary driver of trader sentiment for his posts through May 17. Late-night sprees on May 11-12 included anticipation for the China trip, extensions of the Iran ceasefire, criticisms of CNBC reporting on Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, celebrations of a Virginia Supreme Court ruling against Democratic gerrymandering, and reposts amplifying calls for Barack Obama's arrest over alleged conspiracies. His pattern of frequent, real-time commentary on diplomacy, military escalations like naval blockades, and media clashes—often 10+ posts nightly—suggests continued focus on summit outcomes, Iran de-escalation signals, or domestic policy wins, with potential for AI images or endorsements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTrust
35%
Game
41%
Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire
42%
King
40%
ICE
42%
No cards / All the cards
17%
Epstein
16%
Baby
42%
UFC
43%
Coal
18%
Crypto / Bitcoin
14%
Virus
28%
World Cup
23%
Football
27%
Brazil
26%
$6,864 Vol.
Trust
35%
Game
41%
Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire
42%
King
40%
ICE
42%
No cards / All the cards
17%
Epstein
16%
Baby
42%
UFC
43%
Coal
18%
Crypto / Bitcoin
14%
Virus
28%
World Cup
23%
Football
27%
Brazil
26%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Mercado abierto: May 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's state visit to Beijing, arriving May 13 for meetings with Xi Jinping amid U.S.-Iran tensions, dominates recent Truth Social activity as the primary driver of trader sentiment for his posts through May 17. Late-night sprees on May 11-12 included anticipation for the China trip, extensions of the Iran ceasefire, criticisms of CNBC reporting on Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, celebrations of a Virginia Supreme Court ruling against Democratic gerrymandering, and reposts amplifying calls for Barack Obama's arrest over alleged conspiracies. His pattern of frequent, real-time commentary on diplomacy, military escalations like naval blockades, and media clashes—often 10+ posts nightly—suggests continued focus on summit outcomes, Iran de-escalation signals, or domestic policy wins, with potential for AI images or endorsements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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