Traders see high uncertainty around the length of the remarks, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 30-to-80-minute bands at 43 percent each. Without recent public schedules, prior comparable events in Las Vegas, or confirmed details on format and audience interaction, market consensus remains evenly divided. Shorter outcomes below 30 minutes carry only 6 percent each, indicating limited expectation of an abbreviated appearance. Upcoming announcements on timing, venue constraints, or speaker plans could shift probabilities by providing clearer benchmarks for expected duration.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado80+ minutos 43%
50-60 minutos 38%
40-50 minutos 33%
60-70 minutos 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
<20 minutos
5%
20-30 minutos
6%
30-40 minutos
9%
40-50 minutos
33%
50-60 minutos
38%
60-70 minutos
14%
70-80 minutos
14%
80+ minutos
43%
80+ minutos 43%
50-60 minutos 38%
40-50 minutos 33%
60-70 minutos 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
<20 minutos
$10 Vol.
5%
20-30 minutos
$20 Vol.
6%
30-40 minutos
$0 Vol.
9%
40-50 minutos
$0 Vol.
33%
50-60 minutos
$0 Vol.
38%
60-70 minutos
$0 Vol.
14%
70-80 minutos
$0 Vol.
14%
80+ minutos
$0 Vol.
43%
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy).
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Traders see high uncertainty around the length of the remarks, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 30-to-80-minute bands at 43 percent each. Without recent public schedules, prior comparable events in Las Vegas, or confirmed details on format and audience interaction, market consensus remains evenly divided. Shorter outcomes below 30 minutes carry only 6 percent each, indicating limited expectation of an abbreviated appearance. Upcoming announcements on timing, venue constraints, or speaker plans could shift probabilities by providing clearer benchmarks for expected duration.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy).
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$30Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy).
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Traders see high uncertainty around the length of the remarks, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 30-to-80-minute bands at 43 percent each. Without recent public schedules, prior comparable events in Las Vegas, or confirmed details on format and audience interaction, market consensus remains evenly divided. Shorter outcomes below 30 minutes carry only 6 percent each, indicating limited expectation of an abbreviated appearance. Upcoming announcements on timing, venue constraints, or speaker plans could shift probabilities by providing clearer benchmarks for expected duration.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy).
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volumen
$30Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see high uncertainty around the length of the remarks, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 30-to-80-minute bands at 43 percent each. Without recent public schedules, prior comparable events in Las Vegas, or confirmed details on format and audience interaction, market consensus remains evenly divided. Shorter outcomes below 30 minutes carry only 6 percent each, indicating limited expectation of an abbreviated appearance. Upcoming announcements on timing, venue constraints, or speaker plans could shift probabilities by providing clearer benchmarks for expected duration.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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