Recent analyst upgrades, particularly Goldman Sachs lifting its Q2 2026 Tesla delivery forecast to 420,000 vehicles from 405,000, have anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 425k–450k and 450k–475k bins. The revision cites stronger regional sales data from China, the U.S., and Europe tracking ahead of the prior ~400k consensus. This follows Q1’s reported 358,023 deliveries and reflects Tesla’s production capacity exceeding 408,000 units, potential inventory drawdown, and EV demand stabilization despite competitive pressures. Traders appear to weigh these positive signals against ongoing market uncertainties, positioning the official July report as the key resolution catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado475k+ 29.3%
450k–475k 24.6%
400k–425k 20.7%
425k–450k 13%
$220,016 Vol.
$220,016 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<300k
<1%
300k–325k
<1%
325k–350k
<1%
350k–375k
6%
375k–400k
7%
400k–425k
21%
425k–450k
13%
450k–475k
16%
475k+
29%
475k+ 29.3%
450k–475k 24.6%
400k–425k 20.7%
425k–450k 13%
$220,016 Vol.
$220,016 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<300k
$14,213 Vol.
<1%
300k–325k
$12,009 Vol.
<1%
325k–350k
$10,599 Vol.
<1%
350k–375k
$20,047 Vol.
6%
375k–400k
$18,830 Vol.
7%
400k–425k
$30,479 Vol.
21%
425k–450k
$33,752 Vol.
13%
450k–475k
$33,322 Vol.
16%
475k+
$46,763 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.Recent analyst upgrades, particularly Goldman Sachs lifting its Q2 2026 Tesla delivery forecast to 420,000 vehicles from 405,000, have anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 425k–450k and 450k–475k bins. The revision cites stronger regional sales data from China, the U.S., and Europe tracking ahead of the prior ~400k consensus. This follows Q1’s reported 358,023 deliveries and reflects Tesla’s production capacity exceeding 408,000 units, potential inventory drawdown, and EV demand stabilization despite competitive pressures. Traders appear to weigh these positive signals against ongoing market uncertainties, positioning the official July report as the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Volumen
$220,016Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.Recent analyst upgrades, particularly Goldman Sachs lifting its Q2 2026 Tesla delivery forecast to 420,000 vehicles from 405,000, have anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 425k–450k and 450k–475k bins. The revision cites stronger regional sales data from China, the U.S., and Europe tracking ahead of the prior ~400k consensus. This follows Q1’s reported 358,023 deliveries and reflects Tesla’s production capacity exceeding 408,000 units, potential inventory drawdown, and EV demand stabilization despite competitive pressures. Traders appear to weigh these positive signals against ongoing market uncertainties, positioning the official July report as the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Volumen
$220,016Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent analyst upgrades, particularly Goldman Sachs lifting its Q2 2026 Tesla delivery forecast to 420,000 vehicles from 405,000, have anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 425k–450k and 450k–475k bins. The revision cites stronger regional sales data from China, the U.S., and Europe tracking ahead of the prior ~400k consensus. This follows Q1’s reported 358,023 deliveries and reflects Tesla’s production capacity exceeding 408,000 units, potential inventory drawdown, and EV demand stabilization despite competitive pressures. Traders appear to weigh these positive signals against ongoing market uncertainties, positioning the official July report as the key resolution catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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