Recent analyst upgrades, particularly Goldman Sachs lifting its Q2 2026 Tesla delivery forecast to 420,000 vehicles from 405,000, have anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 425k–450k and 450k–475k bins. The revision cites stronger regional sales data from China, the U.S., and Europe tracking ahead of the prior ~400k consensus. This follows Q1’s reported 358,023 deliveries and reflects Tesla’s production capacity exceeding 408,000 units, potential inventory drawdown, and EV demand stabilization despite competitive pressures. Traders appear to weigh these positive signals against ongoing market uncertainties, positioning the official July report as the key resolution catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado400k–425k 41.5%
475k+ 12.5%
425k–450k 12%
375k–400k 11.5%
$209,864 Vol.
$209,864 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<300k
<1%
300k–325k
1%
325k–350k
<1%
350k–375k
10%
375k–400k
12%
400k–425k
42%
425k–450k
12%
450k–475k
9%
475k+
13%
400k–425k 41.5%
475k+ 12.5%
425k–450k 12%
375k–400k 11.5%
$209,864 Vol.
$209,864 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<300k
$14,179 Vol.
<1%
300k–325k
$11,960 Vol.
1%
325k–350k
$10,565 Vol.
<1%
350k–375k
$19,443 Vol.
10%
375k–400k
$18,473 Vol.
12%
400k–425k
$28,948 Vol.
42%
425k–450k
$32,843 Vol.
12%
450k–475k
$29,242 Vol.
9%
475k+
$44,210 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.Recent analyst upgrades, particularly Goldman Sachs lifting its Q2 2026 Tesla delivery forecast to 420,000 vehicles from 405,000, have anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 425k–450k and 450k–475k bins. The revision cites stronger regional sales data from China, the U.S., and Europe tracking ahead of the prior ~400k consensus. This follows Q1’s reported 358,023 deliveries and reflects Tesla’s production capacity exceeding 408,000 units, potential inventory drawdown, and EV demand stabilization despite competitive pressures. Traders appear to weigh these positive signals against ongoing market uncertainties, positioning the official July report as the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Volumen
$209,864Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.Recent analyst upgrades, particularly Goldman Sachs lifting its Q2 2026 Tesla delivery forecast to 420,000 vehicles from 405,000, have anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 425k–450k and 450k–475k bins. The revision cites stronger regional sales data from China, the U.S., and Europe tracking ahead of the prior ~400k consensus. This follows Q1’s reported 358,023 deliveries and reflects Tesla’s production capacity exceeding 408,000 units, potential inventory drawdown, and EV demand stabilization despite competitive pressures. Traders appear to weigh these positive signals against ongoing market uncertainties, positioning the official July report as the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Volumen
$209,864Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent analyst upgrades, particularly Goldman Sachs lifting its Q2 2026 Tesla delivery forecast to 420,000 vehicles from 405,000, have anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 425k–450k and 450k–475k bins. The revision cites stronger regional sales data from China, the U.S., and Europe tracking ahead of the prior ~400k consensus. This follows Q1’s reported 358,023 deliveries and reflects Tesla’s production capacity exceeding 408,000 units, potential inventory drawdown, and EV demand stabilization despite competitive pressures. Traders appear to weigh these positive signals against ongoing market uncertainties, positioning the official July report as the key resolution catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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