Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27 legislative election project the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 6-8 seats amid Arab voter fragmentation and competition from Ra'am. This range underpins trader consensus favoring 8-9 seats at 39 percent, followed by 6-7 at 24.5 percent. The alliance's late-August candidate list submission and September 12 surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am provide modest structural support, while overall bloc deadlock near 52-52 seats and uncertain Arab turnout add variability. Historical Joint List performance and limited coalition prospects further cap upside beyond 10 seats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado8-9 40%
<6 22%
6-7 19%
10-11 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<6
22%
6-7
19%
8-9
40%
10-11
16%
12+
3%
8-9 40%
<6 22%
6-7 19%
10-11 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<6
$280 Vol.
22%
6-7
$215 Vol.
19%
8-9
$1,700 Vol.
40%
10-11
$273 Vol.
16%
12+
$359 Vol.
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27 legislative election project the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 6-8 seats amid Arab voter fragmentation and competition from Ra'am. This range underpins trader consensus favoring 8-9 seats at 39 percent, followed by 6-7 at 24.5 percent. The alliance's late-August candidate list submission and September 12 surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am provide modest structural support, while overall bloc deadlock near 52-52 seats and uncertain Arab turnout add variability. Historical Joint List performance and limited coalition prospects further cap upside beyond 10 seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volumen
$2,827Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27 legislative election project the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 6-8 seats amid Arab voter fragmentation and competition from Ra'am. This range underpins trader consensus favoring 8-9 seats at 39 percent, followed by 6-7 at 24.5 percent. The alliance's late-August candidate list submission and September 12 surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am provide modest structural support, while overall bloc deadlock near 52-52 seats and uncertain Arab turnout add variability. Historical Joint List performance and limited coalition prospects further cap upside beyond 10 seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$2,827Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27 legislative election project the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 6-8 seats amid Arab voter fragmentation and competition from Ra'am. This range underpins trader consensus favoring 8-9 seats at 39 percent, followed by 6-7 at 24.5 percent. The alliance's late-August candidate list submission and September 12 surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am provide modest structural support, while overall bloc deadlock near 52-52 seats and uncertain Arab turnout add variability. Historical Joint List performance and limited coalition prospects further cap upside beyond 10 seats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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