Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources converge on a minimum temperature of 16°C for Ankara on August 21, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33°C. This aligns with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average 15–17°C, with current conditions showing no significant moisture or frontal activity to moderate temperature drops. The market's overwhelming 94.5% implied probability on 16°C reflects this consensus from real-time ensemble runs. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected model revisions from updated observations could push the low to 15°C or 17°C, though such changes remain low-probability given stable high-pressure dominance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 21 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 21 de agosto?
16°C 95%
15°C 22%
13°C 13%
12°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
13%
14°C
2%
15°C
22%
16°C
95%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 95%
15°C 22%
13°C 13%
12°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
11°C or below
$295 Vol.
1%
12°C
$113 Vol.
7%
13°C
$151 Vol.
13%
14°C
$119 Vol.
2%
15°C
$28 Vol.
22%
16°C
$220 Vol.
95%
17°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$357 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$1,117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources converge on a minimum temperature of 16°C for Ankara on August 21, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33°C. This aligns with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average 15–17°C, with current conditions showing no significant moisture or frontal activity to moderate temperature drops. The market's overwhelming 94.5% implied probability on 16°C reflects this consensus from real-time ensemble runs. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected model revisions from updated observations could push the low to 15°C or 17°C, though such changes remain low-probability given stable high-pressure dominance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volumen
$3,217Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources converge on a minimum temperature of 16°C for Ankara on August 21, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33°C. This aligns with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average 15–17°C, with current conditions showing no significant moisture or frontal activity to moderate temperature drops. The market's overwhelming 94.5% implied probability on 16°C reflects this consensus from real-time ensemble runs. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected model revisions from updated observations could push the low to 15°C or 17°C, though such changes remain low-probability given stable high-pressure dominance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,217Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources converge on a minimum temperature of 16°C for Ankara on August 21, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33°C. This aligns with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average 15–17°C, with current conditions showing no significant moisture or frontal activity to moderate temperature drops. The market's overwhelming 94.5% implied probability on 16°C reflects this consensus from real-time ensemble runs. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected model revisions from updated observations could push the low to 15°C or 17°C, though such changes remain low-probability given stable high-pressure dominance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes