Trader consensus for Guangzhou's August 21 minimum temperature centers on 26–27°C because official forecasts and ensemble models from regional meteorological agencies converge on an overnight low near 25–26°C under typical subtropical summer conditions. High humidity, cloud cover from monsoon flow, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping below the seasonal baseline of roughly 25–26°C. Recent data releases, including morning observations and short-range model runs, show little deviation from this range, with minimal influence from transient weather features. The market-implied probabilities reflect this tight clustering, as traders weigh the low likelihood of either pronounced cooling or unseasonably warm nights against historical climatology for the region.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 21 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 21 de agosto?
24°C 53%
26°C 35%
25°C 24%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
12%
24°C
53%
25°C
24%
26°C
35%
27°C
59%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 53%
26°C 35%
25°C 24%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
$232 Vol.
1%
23°C
$182 Vol.
12%
24°C
$154 Vol.
53%
25°C
$94 Vol.
24%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C
$36 Vol.
59%
28°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Guangzhou's August 21 minimum temperature centers on 26–27°C because official forecasts and ensemble models from regional meteorological agencies converge on an overnight low near 25–26°C under typical subtropical summer conditions. High humidity, cloud cover from monsoon flow, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping below the seasonal baseline of roughly 25–26°C. Recent data releases, including morning observations and short-range model runs, show little deviation from this range, with minimal influence from transient weather features. The market-implied probabilities reflect this tight clustering, as traders weigh the low likelihood of either pronounced cooling or unseasonably warm nights against historical climatology for the region.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volumen
$1,307Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Guangzhou's August 21 minimum temperature centers on 26–27°C because official forecasts and ensemble models from regional meteorological agencies converge on an overnight low near 25–26°C under typical subtropical summer conditions. High humidity, cloud cover from monsoon flow, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping below the seasonal baseline of roughly 25–26°C. Recent data releases, including morning observations and short-range model runs, show little deviation from this range, with minimal influence from transient weather features. The market-implied probabilities reflect this tight clustering, as traders weigh the low likelihood of either pronounced cooling or unseasonably warm nights against historical climatology for the region.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,307Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Guangzhou's August 21 minimum temperature centers on 26–27°C because official forecasts and ensemble models from regional meteorological agencies converge on an overnight low near 25–26°C under typical subtropical summer conditions. High humidity, cloud cover from monsoon flow, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping below the seasonal baseline of roughly 25–26°C. Recent data releases, including morning observations and short-range model runs, show little deviation from this range, with minimal influence from transient weather features. The market-implied probabilities reflect this tight clustering, as traders weigh the low likelihood of either pronounced cooling or unseasonably warm nights against historical climatology for the region.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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