Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC project Jeddah’s overnight minimum on August 21 at 29–31 °C, aligning with the market’s dominant outcomes at 31 °C (64 %) and the tied 29–30 °C tiers. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting and persistently warm sea-surface temperatures near 31 °C limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while typical August humidity and light northwesterly winds sustain these elevated lows. Historical climatology shows average August minima around 30 °C with little interannual variability absent major synoptic shifts. No significant model divergence or anomalous atmospheric features have emerged in the latest runs, reinforcing trader consensus around the narrow 29–31 °C band and keeping probabilities for 28 °C or below below 10 %.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Jeddah el 21 de agosto?
31°C 95%
29°C 34%
30°C 34%
28°C 3%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
34%
30°C
34%
31°C
76%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 95%
29°C 34%
30°C 34%
28°C 3%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
34%
30°C
34%
31°C
76%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC project Jeddah’s overnight minimum on August 21 at 29–31 °C, aligning with the market’s dominant outcomes at 31 °C (64 %) and the tied 29–30 °C tiers. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting and persistently warm sea-surface temperatures near 31 °C limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while typical August humidity and light northwesterly winds sustain these elevated lows. Historical climatology shows average August minima around 30 °C with little interannual variability absent major synoptic shifts. No significant model divergence or anomalous atmospheric features have emerged in the latest runs, reinforcing trader consensus around the narrow 29–31 °C band and keeping probabilities for 28 °C or below below 10 %.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes