Current official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical models indicate persistent warm, humid southerly flow across Shandong, keeping overnight lows in Jinan around 24–25°C on August 22. This late-summer pattern, with scattered thunderstorms but no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling, supports the market-implied 93.5% consensus on a daily minimum of 22°C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 22°C, and recent model runs have shown minimal downward revisions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted stronger frontal passage or rapid clearing that enhances nocturnal cooling below that threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Jinan el 22 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Jinan el 22 de agosto?
22°C o más 98%
21°C 35%
20°C 34%
19°C 29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
12°C o menos
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
29%
20°C
34%
21°C
35%
22°C o más
98%
22°C o más 98%
21°C 35%
20°C 34%
19°C 29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
12°C o menos
$21 Vol.
1%
13°C
$21 Vol.
1%
14°C
$21 Vol.
1%
15°C
$21 Vol.
1%
16°C
$21 Vol.
1%
17°C
$21 Vol.
6%
18°C
$21 Vol.
5%
19°C
$21 Vol.
29%
20°C
$21 Vol.
34%
21°C
$21 Vol.
35%
22°C o más
$58 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical models indicate persistent warm, humid southerly flow across Shandong, keeping overnight lows in Jinan around 24–25°C on August 22. This late-summer pattern, with scattered thunderstorms but no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling, supports the market-implied 93.5% consensus on a daily minimum of 22°C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 22°C, and recent model runs have shown minimal downward revisions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted stronger frontal passage or rapid clearing that enhances nocturnal cooling below that threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$272Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical models indicate persistent warm, humid southerly flow across Shandong, keeping overnight lows in Jinan around 24–25°C on August 22. This late-summer pattern, with scattered thunderstorms but no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling, supports the market-implied 93.5% consensus on a daily minimum of 22°C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 22°C, and recent model runs have shown minimal downward revisions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted stronger frontal passage or rapid clearing that enhances nocturnal cooling below that threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$272Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical models indicate persistent warm, humid southerly flow across Shandong, keeping overnight lows in Jinan around 24–25°C on August 22. This late-summer pattern, with scattered thunderstorms but no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling, supports the market-implied 93.5% consensus on a daily minimum of 22°C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 22°C, and recent model runs have shown minimal downward revisions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted stronger frontal passage or rapid clearing that enhances nocturnal cooling below that threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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