Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus have converged on an overnight minimum of 18°C for London on August 13, 2026, with clear skies, light easterly winds, and urban heat-island effects limiting further cooling below this threshold. Persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warmer air have kept temperatures elevated through the night, aligning closely with historical analogs for late-summer anticyclonic conditions where minima rarely dip below 19°C. The market’s near-certain pricing on 18°C reflects real-time trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns and early observational data from stations such as London City Airport. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected cloud cover could introduce minor cooling, though current guidance shows low likelihood of altering the outcome before final daily minimum resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 13 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 13 de agosto?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,309 Vol.
$17,309 Vol.
13 ago 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,309 Vol.
$17,309 Vol.
13 ago 2026
14°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$546 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,362 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,284 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,512 Vol.
100%
19°C
$3,850 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,165 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,300 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus have converged on an overnight minimum of 18°C for London on August 13, 2026, with clear skies, light easterly winds, and urban heat-island effects limiting further cooling below this threshold. Persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warmer air have kept temperatures elevated through the night, aligning closely with historical analogs for late-summer anticyclonic conditions where minima rarely dip below 19°C. The market’s near-certain pricing on 18°C reflects real-time trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns and early observational data from stations such as London City Airport. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected cloud cover could introduce minor cooling, though current guidance shows low likelihood of altering the outcome before final daily minimum resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$17,309Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus have converged on an overnight minimum of 18°C for London on August 13, 2026, with clear skies, light easterly winds, and urban heat-island effects limiting further cooling below this threshold. Persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warmer air have kept temperatures elevated through the night, aligning closely with historical analogs for late-summer anticyclonic conditions where minima rarely dip below 19°C. The market’s near-certain pricing on 18°C reflects real-time trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns and early observational data from stations such as London City Airport. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected cloud cover could introduce minor cooling, though current guidance shows low likelihood of altering the outcome before final daily minimum resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17,309Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus have converged on an overnight minimum of 18°C for London on August 13, 2026, with clear skies, light easterly winds, and urban heat-island effects limiting further cooling below this threshold. Persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warmer air have kept temperatures elevated through the night, aligning closely with historical analogs for late-summer anticyclonic conditions where minima rarely dip below 19°C. The market’s near-certain pricing on 18°C reflects real-time trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns and early observational data from stations such as London City Airport. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected cloud cover could introduce minor cooling, though current guidance shows low likelihood of altering the outcome before final daily minimum resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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