**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for coastal Los Angeles point to a daily minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, most likely in the upper 60s to low 70s °F, aligning with the market’s leading bins (68-69 °F at 30 % and 70-71 °F at 24.5 %).** Persistent onshore flow and the marine layer—typical for late summer along the Southern California coast—limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated relative to inland areas. Light winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and no strong cold-air advection or Santa Ana event support this range, consistent with climatological norms of ~66 °F average August lows at LAX with a narrow 61–71 °F envelope. The close clustering of probabilities around 64–73 °F reflects modest uncertainty in exact marine-layer depth, cloud cover timing, and local station microclimate effects at the official reporting site. Stronger-than-expected onshore breeze or thicker low clouds could nudge the minimum a degree or two lower, while clearer skies and lighter flow would favor the higher side of the distribution. No major synoptic shift is forecast before resolution, so updated NWS model runs and evening observations on August 23–24 remain the key near-term catalysts.