Current forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Madrid on September 3 around 20–24°C under clear, high-pressure conditions with light winds, though historical early-September baselines near 17–18°C and radiative cooling overnight introduce model spread. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 18°C or below (51.5%) and 20–22°C (41–46%), traders appear focused on uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling rates and any late adjustments from GFS or ECMWF runs ahead of the resolution window. Dry air and minimal cloud cover favor efficient heat loss after sunset, but persistent warmth aloft could limit drops below 19°C. Updated agency guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 3 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 3 de septiembre?
22°C 86%
23°C 86%
25°C 86%
26°C 85%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
18°C or below
51%
19°C
44%
20°C
47%
21°C
44%
22°C
86%
23°C
86%
24°C
2%
25°C
86%
26°C
85%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
42%
22°C 86%
23°C 86%
25°C 86%
26°C 85%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
51%
19°C
$0 Vol.
44%
20°C
$0 Vol.
47%
21°C
$0 Vol.
44%
22°C
$5 Vol.
86%
23°C
$5 Vol.
86%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$5 Vol.
86%
26°C
$5 Vol.
85%
27°C
$5 Vol.
8%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Madrid on September 3 around 20–24°C under clear, high-pressure conditions with light winds, though historical early-September baselines near 17–18°C and radiative cooling overnight introduce model spread. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 18°C or below (51.5%) and 20–22°C (41–46%), traders appear focused on uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling rates and any late adjustments from GFS or ECMWF runs ahead of the resolution window. Dry air and minimal cloud cover favor efficient heat loss after sunset, but persistent warmth aloft could limit drops below 19°C. Updated agency guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$35Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Madrid on September 3 around 20–24°C under clear, high-pressure conditions with light winds, though historical early-September baselines near 17–18°C and radiative cooling overnight introduce model spread. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 18°C or below (51.5%) and 20–22°C (41–46%), traders appear focused on uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling rates and any late adjustments from GFS or ECMWF runs ahead of the resolution window. Dry air and minimal cloud cover favor efficient heat loss after sunset, but persistent warmth aloft could limit drops below 19°C. Updated agency guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$35Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Madrid on September 3 around 20–24°C under clear, high-pressure conditions with light winds, though historical early-September baselines near 17–18°C and radiative cooling overnight introduce model spread. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 18°C or below (51.5%) and 20–22°C (41–46%), traders appear focused on uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling rates and any late adjustments from GFS or ECMWF runs ahead of the resolution window. Dry air and minimal cloud cover favor efficient heat loss after sunset, but persistent warmth aloft could limit drops below 19°C. Updated agency guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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