Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates Madrid's overnight minimum on September 1 will likely fall in the 19–21 °C range under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33–34 °C. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies diurnal swings, and the 17.8 °C climatological average low for the date provides a baseline against which short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover can shift outcomes several degrees. Market-implied odds favoring 16 °C or below reflect trader assessment of downside risks in ensemble spreads and the possibility of slightly stronger cooling than current deterministic runs suggest, especially as the 48-hour window narrows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 1 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 1 de septiembre?
16°C or below 48%
17°C 30%
18°C 29%
19°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
16°C or below
48%
17°C
30%
18°C
29%
19°C
18%
20°C
15%
21°C
14%
22°C
14%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
1%
16°C or below 48%
17°C 30%
18°C 29%
19°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C
$0 Vol.
30%
18°C
$0 Vol.
29%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
15%
21°C
$0 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
14%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates Madrid's overnight minimum on September 1 will likely fall in the 19–21 °C range under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33–34 °C. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies diurnal swings, and the 17.8 °C climatological average low for the date provides a baseline against which short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover can shift outcomes several degrees. Market-implied odds favoring 16 °C or below reflect trader assessment of downside risks in ensemble spreads and the possibility of slightly stronger cooling than current deterministic runs suggest, especially as the 48-hour window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates Madrid's overnight minimum on September 1 will likely fall in the 19–21 °C range under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33–34 °C. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies diurnal swings, and the 17.8 °C climatological average low for the date provides a baseline against which short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover can shift outcomes several degrees. Market-implied odds favoring 16 °C or below reflect trader assessment of downside risks in ensemble spreads and the possibility of slightly stronger cooling than current deterministic runs suggest, especially as the 48-hour window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates Madrid's overnight minimum on September 1 will likely fall in the 19–21 °C range under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33–34 °C. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies diurnal swings, and the 17.8 °C climatological average low for the date provides a baseline against which short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover can shift outcomes several degrees. Market-implied odds favoring 16 °C or below reflect trader assessment of downside risks in ensemble spreads and the possibility of slightly stronger cooling than current deterministic runs suggest, especially as the 48-hour window narrows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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