Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA's GFS indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge through August 30, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that sets the daily minimum temperature. Trader consensus clusters around 13–15 °C because ensemble spreads show the lowest readings could dip near those thresholds if dew-point depressions and boundary-layer mixing remain minimal overnight, while slightly stronger advection or residual cloud cover could hold values near 16 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical minima around 17–19 °C, so current drier and calmer conditions are pulling implied probabilities toward cooler outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour mesoscale updates from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 30 de agosto?
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
13°C or below
43%
14°C
34%
15°C
26%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
17%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
43%
14°C
$0 Vol.
34%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$5 Vol.
19%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$265 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA's GFS indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge through August 30, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that sets the daily minimum temperature. Trader consensus clusters around 13–15 °C because ensemble spreads show the lowest readings could dip near those thresholds if dew-point depressions and boundary-layer mixing remain minimal overnight, while slightly stronger advection or residual cloud cover could hold values near 16 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical minima around 17–19 °C, so current drier and calmer conditions are pulling implied probabilities toward cooler outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour mesoscale updates from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$275Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA's GFS indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge through August 30, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that sets the daily minimum temperature. Trader consensus clusters around 13–15 °C because ensemble spreads show the lowest readings could dip near those thresholds if dew-point depressions and boundary-layer mixing remain minimal overnight, while slightly stronger advection or residual cloud cover could hold values near 16 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical minima around 17–19 °C, so current drier and calmer conditions are pulling implied probabilities toward cooler outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour mesoscale updates from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$275Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA's GFS indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge through August 30, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that sets the daily minimum temperature. Trader consensus clusters around 13–15 °C because ensemble spreads show the lowest readings could dip near those thresholds if dew-point depressions and boundary-layer mixing remain minimal overnight, while slightly stronger advection or residual cloud cover could hold values near 16 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical minima around 17–19 °C, so current drier and calmer conditions are pulling implied probabilities toward cooler outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour mesoscale updates from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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