Latest National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts an overnight low near 74°F on May 14, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus and positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability among traders wagering real capital. This trader sentiment reflects radiational cooling under light southwest winds of 5 mph, partial clearing after evening thunderstorms, and moderation from surrounding Atlantic sea surface temperatures around 78°F, typical for mid-May climatology with historical averages near 75°F. Yesterday's observed low of 73°F amid drier high pressure sets a recent baseline, while lingering cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could shift odds toward 76-77°F (23.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected this afternoon may further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 14 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 14 de mayo?
74-75°F 52%
76-77°F 33%
72-73°F 16%
78-79°F 8.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 may 2026
67°F o menos
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
48%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o más
1%
74-75°F 52%
76-77°F 33%
72-73°F 16%
78-79°F 8.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 may 2026
67°F o menos
$164 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$534 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$52 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$157 Vol.
13%
74-75°F
$146 Vol.
48%
76-77°F
$168 Vol.
33%
78-79°F
$99 Vol.
9%
80-81°F
$119 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$247 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$293 Vol.
<1%
86°F o más
$521 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts an overnight low near 74°F on May 14, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus and positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability among traders wagering real capital. This trader sentiment reflects radiational cooling under light southwest winds of 5 mph, partial clearing after evening thunderstorms, and moderation from surrounding Atlantic sea surface temperatures around 78°F, typical for mid-May climatology with historical averages near 75°F. Yesterday's observed low of 73°F amid drier high pressure sets a recent baseline, while lingering cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could shift odds toward 76-77°F (23.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected this afternoon may further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volumen
$2,382Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts an overnight low near 74°F on May 14, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus and positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability among traders wagering real capital. This trader sentiment reflects radiational cooling under light southwest winds of 5 mph, partial clearing after evening thunderstorms, and moderation from surrounding Atlantic sea surface temperatures around 78°F, typical for mid-May climatology with historical averages near 75°F. Yesterday's observed low of 73°F amid drier high pressure sets a recent baseline, while lingering cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could shift odds toward 76-77°F (23.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected this afternoon may further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,382Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts an overnight low near 74°F on May 14, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus and positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability among traders wagering real capital. This trader sentiment reflects radiational cooling under light southwest winds of 5 mph, partial clearing after evening thunderstorms, and moderation from surrounding Atlantic sea surface temperatures around 78°F, typical for mid-May climatology with historical averages near 75°F. Yesterday's observed low of 73°F amid drier high pressure sets a recent baseline, while lingering cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could shift odds toward 76-77°F (23.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected this afternoon may further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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