Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 76-77°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, confirmed by official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a minimum of 77°F around 11:32 PM. This aligns with persistent southerly winds, high dew points near 72°F, and partly cloudy skies trapping heat in South Florida's urban environment, keeping overnight lows above the May climatological normal of 73°F. Model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles had converged on this range 24-48 hours prior, reflecting stable subtropical conditions without cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, with final data typically unadjusted.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 13 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 13 de mayo?
76-77°F 100.0%
71°F o menos <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$15,756 Vol.
$15,756 Vol.
13 may 2026
71°F o menos
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Sí
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F o más
No
76-77°F 100.0%
71°F o menos <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$15,756 Vol.
$15,756 Vol.
13 may 2026
71°F o menos
$3,282 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,322 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,861 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$2,633 Vol.
Sí
78-79°F
$485 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$756 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$544 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$683 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,064 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,207 Vol.
No
90°F o más
$918 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 76-77°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, confirmed by official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a minimum of 77°F around 11:32 PM. This aligns with persistent southerly winds, high dew points near 72°F, and partly cloudy skies trapping heat in South Florida's urban environment, keeping overnight lows above the May climatological normal of 73°F. Model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles had converged on this range 24-48 hours prior, reflecting stable subtropical conditions without cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, with final data typically unadjusted.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$15,756Fecha de finalización
13 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 76-77°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, confirmed by official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a minimum of 77°F around 11:32 PM. This aligns with persistent southerly winds, high dew points near 72°F, and partly cloudy skies trapping heat in South Florida's urban environment, keeping overnight lows above the May climatological normal of 73°F. Model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles had converged on this range 24-48 hours prior, reflecting stable subtropical conditions without cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, with final data typically unadjusted.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,756Fecha de finalización
13 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 76-77°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, confirmed by official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a minimum of 77°F around 11:32 PM. This aligns with persistent southerly winds, high dew points near 72°F, and partly cloudy skies trapping heat in South Florida's urban environment, keeping overnight lows above the May climatological normal of 73°F. Model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles had converged on this range 24-48 hours prior, reflecting stable subtropical conditions without cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, with final data typically unadjusted.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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