Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami points to an overnight low in the mid-70s, reflecting the absence of any cold fronts or dry-air intrusions that would allow deeper radiational cooling. Persistent light southeast flow and elevated boundary-layer moisture typical of mid-May subtropical conditions are keeping the minimum temperature anchored near the seasonal average of 74–76 °F. Traders have priced 74–75 °F as the leading outcome at 47 percent implied probability, with 73 °F or below receiving 27 percent, because latest runs show only modest cooling potential overnight. Historical climatology for Miami International Airport confirms that May lows rarely drop below 72 °F without synoptic support, reinforcing the current market distribution ahead of tonight’s official observation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 16 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 16 de mayo?
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$14,692 Vol.
$14,692 Vol.
16 may 2026
73°F o menos
54%
74-75°F
47%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o más
<1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$14,692 Vol.
$14,692 Vol.
16 may 2026
73°F o menos
$1,067 Vol.
54%
74-75°F
$202 Vol.
47%
76-77°F
$1,188 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$3,006 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$972 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,208 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$814 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$786 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$779 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$657 Vol.
<1%
92°F o más
$4,051 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami points to an overnight low in the mid-70s, reflecting the absence of any cold fronts or dry-air intrusions that would allow deeper radiational cooling. Persistent light southeast flow and elevated boundary-layer moisture typical of mid-May subtropical conditions are keeping the minimum temperature anchored near the seasonal average of 74–76 °F. Traders have priced 74–75 °F as the leading outcome at 47 percent implied probability, with 73 °F or below receiving 27 percent, because latest runs show only modest cooling potential overnight. Historical climatology for Miami International Airport confirms that May lows rarely drop below 72 °F without synoptic support, reinforcing the current market distribution ahead of tonight’s official observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$14,692Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami points to an overnight low in the mid-70s, reflecting the absence of any cold fronts or dry-air intrusions that would allow deeper radiational cooling. Persistent light southeast flow and elevated boundary-layer moisture typical of mid-May subtropical conditions are keeping the minimum temperature anchored near the seasonal average of 74–76 °F. Traders have priced 74–75 °F as the leading outcome at 47 percent implied probability, with 73 °F or below receiving 27 percent, because latest runs show only modest cooling potential overnight. Historical climatology for Miami International Airport confirms that May lows rarely drop below 72 °F without synoptic support, reinforcing the current market distribution ahead of tonight’s official observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,692Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIARecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami points to an overnight low in the mid-70s, reflecting the absence of any cold fronts or dry-air intrusions that would allow deeper radiational cooling. Persistent light southeast flow and elevated boundary-layer moisture typical of mid-May subtropical conditions are keeping the minimum temperature anchored near the seasonal average of 74–76 °F. Traders have priced 74–75 °F as the leading outcome at 47 percent implied probability, with 73 °F or below receiving 27 percent, because latest runs show only modest cooling potential overnight. Historical climatology for Miami International Airport confirms that May lows rarely drop below 72 °F without synoptic support, reinforcing the current market distribution ahead of tonight’s official observation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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