Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model runs have tightened expectations for Seoul’s May 17 maximum to the 24–25 °C range, with only modest support for 26 °C or higher. Clear skies and light southerly flow under a stable upper-level ridge favor modest daytime warming, while mid-May climatological normals near 23 °C provide a baseline. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover remain the key variables that could nudge the official KMA station reading one degree either way. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and evening observations for any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 17 de mayo?
24°C 30%
25°C 26%
23°C 26%
26°C or higher 17%
$57,893 Vol.
$57,893 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
17%
24°C 30%
25°C 26%
23°C 26%
26°C or higher 17%
$57,893 Vol.
$57,893 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model runs have tightened expectations for Seoul’s May 17 maximum to the 24–25 °C range, with only modest support for 26 °C or higher. Clear skies and light southerly flow under a stable upper-level ridge favor modest daytime warming, while mid-May climatological normals near 23 °C provide a baseline. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover remain the key variables that could nudge the official KMA station reading one degree either way. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and evening observations for any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes