Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a daytime high near or below 25°C in Beijing on May 16, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limit solar heating and enhance cooling. These conditions align with typical early-May patterns where average highs reach the mid-20s Celsius, but current model consensus points to suppressed temperatures rather than the seasonal warm-up often seen later in the month. Trader consensus at 100% for 25°C or below reflects this evidence, with the small remaining probability mass on higher outcomes acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential model shifts or unexpected clear-sky intervals before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 16 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 16 de mayo?
25°C o menos 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$81,828 Vol.
$81,828 Vol.
16 may 2026
25°C o menos
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
25°C o menos 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$81,828 Vol.
$81,828 Vol.
16 may 2026
25°C o menos
$14,181 Vol.
100%
26°C
$15,341 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$9,450 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$11,395 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,863 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,280 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,486 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,554 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,336 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,652 Vol.
<1%
35°C o más
$1,288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a daytime high near or below 25°C in Beijing on May 16, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limit solar heating and enhance cooling. These conditions align with typical early-May patterns where average highs reach the mid-20s Celsius, but current model consensus points to suppressed temperatures rather than the seasonal warm-up often seen later in the month. Trader consensus at 100% for 25°C or below reflects this evidence, with the small remaining probability mass on higher outcomes acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential model shifts or unexpected clear-sky intervals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$81,828Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a daytime high near or below 25°C in Beijing on May 16, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limit solar heating and enhance cooling. These conditions align with typical early-May patterns where average highs reach the mid-20s Celsius, but current model consensus points to suppressed temperatures rather than the seasonal warm-up often seen later in the month. Trader consensus at 100% for 25°C or below reflects this evidence, with the small remaining probability mass on higher outcomes acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential model shifts or unexpected clear-sky intervals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$81,828Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a daytime high near or below 25°C in Beijing on May 16, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limit solar heating and enhance cooling. These conditions align with typical early-May patterns where average highs reach the mid-20s Celsius, but current model consensus points to suppressed temperatures rather than the seasonal warm-up often seen later in the month. Trader consensus at 100% for 25°C or below reflects this evidence, with the small remaining probability mass on higher outcomes acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential model shifts or unexpected clear-sky intervals before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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