Latest Korea Meteorological Administration guidance fixes Seoul’s May 16 daytime maximum at 24 °C, aligning with the climatological mid-May average of 22–24 °C under a typical springtime high-pressure ridge that promotes light southerly flow and limited warm-air advection. This consensus, reinforced by ensemble model runs showing only modest diurnal warming and no significant subsidence strengthening, underpins the market’s 99.9 % implied probability for exactly 24 °C. Traders recognize that official resolution relies on the single highest official observation, so only an unanticipated shift in steering currents or localized urban-heat amplification could realistically push readings to 25 °C or above before sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C or higher <1%
$313,001 Vol.
$313,001 Vol.
16 may 2026
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C or higher <1%
$313,001 Vol.
$313,001 Vol.
16 may 2026
24°C
$47,999 Vol.
100%
25°C
$23,356 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$43,319 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration guidance fixes Seoul’s May 16 daytime maximum at 24 °C, aligning with the climatological mid-May average of 22–24 °C under a typical springtime high-pressure ridge that promotes light southerly flow and limited warm-air advection. This consensus, reinforced by ensemble model runs showing only modest diurnal warming and no significant subsidence strengthening, underpins the market’s 99.9 % implied probability for exactly 24 °C. Traders recognize that official resolution relies on the single highest official observation, so only an unanticipated shift in steering currents or localized urban-heat amplification could realistically push readings to 25 °C or above before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$313,001Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration guidance fixes Seoul’s May 16 daytime maximum at 24 °C, aligning with the climatological mid-May average of 22–24 °C under a typical springtime high-pressure ridge that promotes light southerly flow and limited warm-air advection. This consensus, reinforced by ensemble model runs showing only modest diurnal warming and no significant subsidence strengthening, underpins the market’s 99.9 % implied probability for exactly 24 °C. Traders recognize that official resolution relies on the single highest official observation, so only an unanticipated shift in steering currents or localized urban-heat amplification could realistically push readings to 25 °C or above before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$313,001Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration guidance fixes Seoul’s May 16 daytime maximum at 24 °C, aligning with the climatological mid-May average of 22–24 °C under a typical springtime high-pressure ridge that promotes light southerly flow and limited warm-air advection. This consensus, reinforced by ensemble model runs showing only modest diurnal warming and no significant subsidence strengthening, underpins the market’s 99.9 % implied probability for exactly 24 °C. Traders recognize that official resolution relies on the single highest official observation, so only an unanticipated shift in steering currents or localized urban-heat amplification could realistically push readings to 25 °C or above before sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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